Between the massive injury bug that hit last week, as well as the looming Trade Deadline, my Hot Potato is going to hit on a few trades that could (and most times should) be made. I'll put it in Power Ranking format to appease those who care about such things, but it will be rankings looking forward, not based on past performance. I may not be heading for the Stevens Bowl like I claimed two months ago, but someone is, so let's see who looks like the odds-on favorite.
1. Ajay
My other Stevens Bowl pick has lived up to the expectations. He rode Freeman and Lewis while Shady and Lamar struggled, and now his biggest RB issue is picking who to start. From a roster perspective, QB is the weakness here. Neither Carr nor Stafford is reliable enough of an option to feel comfortable in a given week, so it's probably worth targeting someone who is.
Mock Trade 1: Ajay trades Lamar Miller and Matt Stafford to Bennett for Ben Roethlisberger and Julius Thomas.
2. Esco
Record aside, this is a deeeeep team that is potentially a move (or injury) away from domination. He has QB, RB, WR and even fucking D/ST covered better than most teams in this league, which just leaves TE as an obvious hole. Reed has played pretty well on the off chance that he's healthy, so I don't think it's worth sacrificing depth just for a minor upgrade at a non-premiere position. My recommendation is to stand pat.
3. Levine
This team badly needs to make a move, because you currently have more startable players than roster spots, and not enough studs to take you over the top. Four legit starting WRs and three RBs should be impossible in this league, but Levine has managed to pull it off. If I'm him, I go for the win this year.
Mock Trade 2: Levine trades Marshawn Lynch and Tyrod Taylor to Alan for Aaron Rodgers.
4. Barnard
The Bell injury obviously hurts, especially when you traded depth for Gronk earlier in the year. At this point you're likely riding things out on the back of Gurley, which is not a bad place to be, and hoping that the Palmer/Fitz duo doesn't turn into a pumpkin. In lieu of trying to flip Gronk, your better bet is likely downgrading at WR and hoping that your relative depth there allows you to pick the right player in a given week.
Mock Trade 3: Barnard trades T.Y. Hilton to Kumpf for Frank Gore and Jordan Matthews.
5. Weissbard
We collectively need to give Weiss props. Not for finally having a decent team, but for drafting what is potentially the most difficult division imaginable. But I also think you will make the playoffs, with a very strong starting lineup. You might need an off week from one of the teams above to earn an extra small Chef's Coat, but if I'm in your shoes, I wouldn't make any major moves.
6. BAM
Your obvious weakness to start the season was at WR, so that Malcom Floyd pickup has the potential to be huge. The lack of studs on this team is an issue, so I'd try to upgrade by trading some of your depth for a potential home run.
Mock Trade 4: BAM trades Chris Johnson and Jarvis Landry to Nick for Dez Bryant.
7. AGD
You guys will likely make the playoffs over one of the teams above, but your roster just screams meh to me. None of your players are really a risk to go off in any given week, which means you need everyone to contribute to get a win. This being my second Hot Potato in 4 weeks tells you how that one can turn out. That said, you've been pretty active on the trade market already, and your depth is solid, so I don't think there is an obvious move to be made.
8. Zacherman
This has to be the worst 7-1 team in fantasy history right? You've almost allowed fewer points than I've scored, which is just insane at this point. Regardless, those wins are banked and you'll probably back into the playoffs, which is impressive given that you've lost Charles and Smitty already. At this point you have one of the worst rosters in the league, so trading is somewhat out of the question. You just need to hope Brees keeps throwing 7 TDs, and you suffer no more major injuries.
9. Nick
I already covered a trade that I think would help you balance your roster a bit and make a playoff push, but I don't hate your teams as it stands either. You clearly have a better roster than Z, but with three fewer wins, your fate is likely not in your control. If this is indeed your swan song, will you go out with the status quo, or in a trading blaze of glory?
10. Gutman
Your roster is a lesser version of Nick's, and you already traded your stud for depth, so that leaves you just hoping for the best. It looks like Fitz is going to start for the Jets, so that helps Marshall, but C.J. Anderson showed enough life last week that I would be worried about Hillman. It would take some serious luck for you to make the playoffs.
11. Bennett
You waited too long to replace an injured Roethlisberger, and now you're "stuck" with two productive QBs. I think a trade with Ajay makes sense, but you need it a lot more than he does, which is not a great place to be.
13. Alan
Alan's spite tour comes full circle, as DeAngelo Williams is once again a viable starter! I feel like your team is one big missed opportunity for trading. At this point it probably doesn't matter, but you had some pieces here that could have been flipped earlier in the year and weren't. Rodgers for a stud RB or WR still makes a lot of sense to me.
13. Kumpf
In some universe, a team led by last year's QB3, the starting RB for Andrew Luck, the starting RBs for two undefeated teams, and Calvin Fucking Johnson would be more than enough to make the playoffs. This is not that universe.
14. Donny
We have quite the showdown this week. The loser is unquestionably in the driver's seat for taking 7 shots before the draft next year, which brings up the possibility of the entire screenplay of Big Daddy being quoted. I can't speak for everyone else, but I'm excited for that either way.
Okay, peace out.
Thursday, November 5, 2015
Friday, October 16, 2015
Week 5 Hot Potato: Undeliverable
The theme for me this season has been the lack of delivery. I promised to return to my weekly posts. That didn't happen. I promised to avoid shitting on Barnard at his wedding. That didn't happen (though I blame his home friends for instigating). And most of all, I promised a Stevens Bowl victory for my team. That is almost assuredly not going to happen.
While some of these failures are on me, anyone that claimed to have a pulse on this NFL season prior to Week 1 is a fucking liar. Yes, that Patriots are good, but Dion Lewis as RB4 by points per game? Yes, the Lions are bad, but Calvin Johnson as WR38 by PPG? Devonta Freeman having more points through 5 weeks than Eddie Lacy, DeMarco Murray and Marshawn Lynch combined (not even including last night)? Anyone who says they "nailed" the draft this year is full of shit, because this has been the weirdest NFL season in recent memory.
Regardless, we are where we are. And while I feel more unqualified than usual to provide any sort of commentary on the NFL right now, my Hot Potato post will focus on the moves made from Weeks 2-6. I will try to focus on process rather than results, but it's likely that I will be somewhat blinded by what has happened since these moves went down.
Week 2
Best Pickup of the Week: Tyrod Taylor for $7 by Levine. Losing any player sucks, but especially your starting QB. Taylor looked legit in the first two games of the season, so I'm surprised that no one else bid on him. With the benefit of hindsight, this was still a great pickup, despite the MCL injury that leaves you scrambling once again.
Worst Pickup of the Week: Crockett Gilmore and Rishard Mathews for $22 each by Weissbard. Spending 22% of our annual budget on two players that no one else bid on is never a good thing. Granted, Mathews contributed to Weiss demolishing me that week, so Karma is a bitch, but I maintain that neither of these players are startable.
Trades: None.
Week 3
Best Pickup of the Week: Gary Barnidge for $3 by Weissbard. I'm not here just to hate on Weiss, and he absolutely nailed this one. While Johnny Football clearly could care less about throwing the ball to white people, Josh McCown clearly has no such aversion. In fact, he pulled an Eli and threw a TD pass to Barnidge with his eyes closed last week. Weiss has himself a legit starting TE, and for more than 7 times less than Crockett Gilmore cost.
Worst Pickup of the Week: Thomas Rawls for $88 by AGD. I have a few problems with how our defending champs handled this one. First, Marshawn was only out for a week, maybe two, at the time of this auction (it obviously turned out to be two and counting, but that was unknown at the time). Second, Fred Jackson is already present in Seattle, and was always going to be the third down back if Lynch went down. Third, who the fuck is Thomas Rawls? But most importantly, you didn't immediately do whatever it takes to trade Rawls to Donny, the one guy who actually needs him.Your team looks pretty solid as is, but parlaying Rawls and Maclin for Keenan Allen or something like that should have been a priority.
Trades: Barnard trades Brandon Marshall and Travis Kelce to Gutman for Rob Gronkowski and Kyle Rudolph. I love this trade. Barnard capitalized on his surprisingly hot start by giving up depth for a stud, while Gutman made up for his draft-day mistake by adding much needed depth. I actually give Gutman the slight win here, because I think Kelce winds up a lot closer to Gronk's point total moving forward than people expect, and Barnard may regret giving up Marshall when Watkins throws up another goose egg at the wrong time. But great trade all around.
Week 4
Best Pickup of the Week: Willie Snead for $30 by Alan. It's rare that a relatively unknown receiver becomes the top target for one of the best QBs in the league, but that appears to be what happened with Snead. Smart pickup and responsible bid by Alan, who beat Z by less than $10. Bidding does not appear to be Zacherman's strong suit, though he does get an honorable mention here for Kamar Aiken at $18. He can't take home the prize because no one else bid on him, but it was still a good pick.
Worst Pickup of the Week: Giants D for $7 by Zacherman. I've made my thoughts on backup defenses and/or kickers (AGD, looking at you!) well known, but this makes even less sense than Esco's Denver pick. At least the Broncos have an elite defense! The Giants D has been extremely mediocre, and despite playing the Niners, you didn't even start them. When reached for comment, Z said that he picked them up because he was playing against Donny. So yeah.
Trades: Ajay trades Richard Rodgers to Bennett for Rueben Randle. Depth for depth, but nothing really exciting here. I'm convinced that this trade went down solely because both guys' initials are R.R.. Not as exciting as a potential Charles Clay for Chandler Catanzaro swap, but still more exciting than...
Kumpf trades Christine Michael to Levine for James Starks. I get that Levine wanted Randle/DMC insurance, but I'd still prefer the 2nd string RB in Aaron Rodgers' offense to the 3rd string RB in Brandon Weeden's offense. But that's just me.
Week 5
Best Pickup of the Week: Charcandrick West for $113 by Kumpf. Obviously lots to say here, which I'll get to in a minute, but this was by far the highest grossing auction that was ever won by $1. Even the biggest Kumpf-haters have to respect that, especially because it beat out Z, and 12 teams bid on him.
Worst Pickup of the Week: Charcandrick West for $112 by Zacherman. No real bad moves that I saw this week, so I'll add insult to injury by giving this one to Z. If you weren't so cheap and spent $2 more, you would still have Calvin.
Trades: Bennett trades Amari Cooper and Jordan Reed to Esco for Philip Rivers and LeGarrette Blount. I'm a little bit confused by this trade. Bennett needed QB help when Ben went down, but he waited until he's nearly back to make the move? Esco needed to trade his depth for a stud, but did so when Cooper was on a bye? I guess that makes it kind of even, though this trade would have made more sense two weeks ago. I give Esco the edge because Cooper is a legit WR1, and Bennett may not be starting either of these players as soon as two weeks from now.
Kumpf trades Charcandrick West, James Starks, Travis Benjamin and Desean Jackson to Zacherman for Calvin Johnson, Marques Colston, Owen Daniels and Giants D/ST. My team is an absolute mess, and if I'm strong anywhere, it's RB. Charcandrick West is not going to save my season. Calvin Johnson could save my season if he's not finished. At 1-4, I'm willing to take that risk. Zacherman is extremely lucky that he beat Donny by less than a point to get to 4-1, because losing Charles is just terrible. He likely would have faced a tailspin if he didn't get another starting RB. Losing Calvin hurts, but he very well could be finished, and the Desean/Benjamin combo is intriguing to say the least. This isn't as much of a win-win as the Barnard/Gutman trade, but it gives both teams what they needed. I give the edge to Z, simply because his season was probably over without it, and my season is probably over regardless.
Alan trades Antonio Brown to Weissbard for Randall Cobb and Karlos Williams. This is a weird one. Both teams are 2-3, but Weiss has a much rosier outlook than Alan does. With Ben hurt, I like Cobb more straight up than Brown, but that obviously won't last forever. So this helps Alan more in the short term, so that he can see if one of his array of 2nd or 3rd string RBs can emerge due to injury, while seeing equal or even increased production at WR. Weiss is playing a dangerous game, sacrificing a bit in the short term to have a better chance at the Stevens Bowl. I give the slight edge to Weiss here, because we're all playing for the Chef's Coat, and I admire his moxie.
While some of these failures are on me, anyone that claimed to have a pulse on this NFL season prior to Week 1 is a fucking liar. Yes, that Patriots are good, but Dion Lewis as RB4 by points per game? Yes, the Lions are bad, but Calvin Johnson as WR38 by PPG? Devonta Freeman having more points through 5 weeks than Eddie Lacy, DeMarco Murray and Marshawn Lynch combined (not even including last night)? Anyone who says they "nailed" the draft this year is full of shit, because this has been the weirdest NFL season in recent memory.
Regardless, we are where we are. And while I feel more unqualified than usual to provide any sort of commentary on the NFL right now, my Hot Potato post will focus on the moves made from Weeks 2-6. I will try to focus on process rather than results, but it's likely that I will be somewhat blinded by what has happened since these moves went down.
Week 2
Best Pickup of the Week: Tyrod Taylor for $7 by Levine. Losing any player sucks, but especially your starting QB. Taylor looked legit in the first two games of the season, so I'm surprised that no one else bid on him. With the benefit of hindsight, this was still a great pickup, despite the MCL injury that leaves you scrambling once again.
Worst Pickup of the Week: Crockett Gilmore and Rishard Mathews for $22 each by Weissbard. Spending 22% of our annual budget on two players that no one else bid on is never a good thing. Granted, Mathews contributed to Weiss demolishing me that week, so Karma is a bitch, but I maintain that neither of these players are startable.
Trades: None.
Week 3
Best Pickup of the Week: Gary Barnidge for $3 by Weissbard. I'm not here just to hate on Weiss, and he absolutely nailed this one. While Johnny Football clearly could care less about throwing the ball to white people, Josh McCown clearly has no such aversion. In fact, he pulled an Eli and threw a TD pass to Barnidge with his eyes closed last week. Weiss has himself a legit starting TE, and for more than 7 times less than Crockett Gilmore cost.
Worst Pickup of the Week: Thomas Rawls for $88 by AGD. I have a few problems with how our defending champs handled this one. First, Marshawn was only out for a week, maybe two, at the time of this auction (it obviously turned out to be two and counting, but that was unknown at the time). Second, Fred Jackson is already present in Seattle, and was always going to be the third down back if Lynch went down. Third, who the fuck is Thomas Rawls? But most importantly, you didn't immediately do whatever it takes to trade Rawls to Donny, the one guy who actually needs him.Your team looks pretty solid as is, but parlaying Rawls and Maclin for Keenan Allen or something like that should have been a priority.
Trades: Barnard trades Brandon Marshall and Travis Kelce to Gutman for Rob Gronkowski and Kyle Rudolph. I love this trade. Barnard capitalized on his surprisingly hot start by giving up depth for a stud, while Gutman made up for his draft-day mistake by adding much needed depth. I actually give Gutman the slight win here, because I think Kelce winds up a lot closer to Gronk's point total moving forward than people expect, and Barnard may regret giving up Marshall when Watkins throws up another goose egg at the wrong time. But great trade all around.
Week 4
Best Pickup of the Week: Willie Snead for $30 by Alan. It's rare that a relatively unknown receiver becomes the top target for one of the best QBs in the league, but that appears to be what happened with Snead. Smart pickup and responsible bid by Alan, who beat Z by less than $10. Bidding does not appear to be Zacherman's strong suit, though he does get an honorable mention here for Kamar Aiken at $18. He can't take home the prize because no one else bid on him, but it was still a good pick.
Worst Pickup of the Week: Giants D for $7 by Zacherman. I've made my thoughts on backup defenses and/or kickers (AGD, looking at you!) well known, but this makes even less sense than Esco's Denver pick. At least the Broncos have an elite defense! The Giants D has been extremely mediocre, and despite playing the Niners, you didn't even start them. When reached for comment, Z said that he picked them up because he was playing against Donny. So yeah.
Trades: Ajay trades Richard Rodgers to Bennett for Rueben Randle. Depth for depth, but nothing really exciting here. I'm convinced that this trade went down solely because both guys' initials are R.R.. Not as exciting as a potential Charles Clay for Chandler Catanzaro swap, but still more exciting than...
Kumpf trades Christine Michael to Levine for James Starks. I get that Levine wanted Randle/DMC insurance, but I'd still prefer the 2nd string RB in Aaron Rodgers' offense to the 3rd string RB in Brandon Weeden's offense. But that's just me.
Week 5
Best Pickup of the Week: Charcandrick West for $113 by Kumpf. Obviously lots to say here, which I'll get to in a minute, but this was by far the highest grossing auction that was ever won by $1. Even the biggest Kumpf-haters have to respect that, especially because it beat out Z, and 12 teams bid on him.
Worst Pickup of the Week: Charcandrick West for $112 by Zacherman. No real bad moves that I saw this week, so I'll add insult to injury by giving this one to Z. If you weren't so cheap and spent $2 more, you would still have Calvin.
Trades: Bennett trades Amari Cooper and Jordan Reed to Esco for Philip Rivers and LeGarrette Blount. I'm a little bit confused by this trade. Bennett needed QB help when Ben went down, but he waited until he's nearly back to make the move? Esco needed to trade his depth for a stud, but did so when Cooper was on a bye? I guess that makes it kind of even, though this trade would have made more sense two weeks ago. I give Esco the edge because Cooper is a legit WR1, and Bennett may not be starting either of these players as soon as two weeks from now.
Kumpf trades Charcandrick West, James Starks, Travis Benjamin and Desean Jackson to Zacherman for Calvin Johnson, Marques Colston, Owen Daniels and Giants D/ST. My team is an absolute mess, and if I'm strong anywhere, it's RB. Charcandrick West is not going to save my season. Calvin Johnson could save my season if he's not finished. At 1-4, I'm willing to take that risk. Zacherman is extremely lucky that he beat Donny by less than a point to get to 4-1, because losing Charles is just terrible. He likely would have faced a tailspin if he didn't get another starting RB. Losing Calvin hurts, but he very well could be finished, and the Desean/Benjamin combo is intriguing to say the least. This isn't as much of a win-win as the Barnard/Gutman trade, but it gives both teams what they needed. I give the edge to Z, simply because his season was probably over without it, and my season is probably over regardless.
Alan trades Antonio Brown to Weissbard for Randall Cobb and Karlos Williams. This is a weird one. Both teams are 2-3, but Weiss has a much rosier outlook than Alan does. With Ben hurt, I like Cobb more straight up than Brown, but that obviously won't last forever. So this helps Alan more in the short term, so that he can see if one of his array of 2nd or 3rd string RBs can emerge due to injury, while seeing equal or even increased production at WR. Weiss is playing a dangerous game, sacrificing a bit in the short term to have a better chance at the Stevens Bowl. I give the slight edge to Weiss here, because we're all playing for the Chef's Coat, and I admire his moxie.
Friday, September 18, 2015
Week 1 Recap/Week 2 Preview
What a weird first week of the season. Lot's of injuries, lots of studs not performing well, and lots of TDs for TEs. I somehow went 0-6 in fantasy, but 5-0-1 (now 6-0-1) in gambling, which makes absolutely no sense, but is a good proxy for what type of week it was. I'm hoping that things even out this week, if only so that my impromptu speech at Barnard's wedding won't come off in poor taste. Well it will definitely be in poor taste, but it will be easier to get away with at 1-1 than 0-2.
Week 1 Recap:
In the "Game of the Week", neither team broke 85, and Donnie is the current Hot Potato thanks to apparently drafting Archie Manning as his QB. So let's take a look at the actual best game of the week:
Levine (99) over BAM (95.6)
Things started out rough right off the bat for Billy and Marshall, with the Colts getting destroyed, Miami failing to blow out the Skins, and Cam Newton forgetting that he has literally one person worth throwing the ball to. A couple of garbage time TDs made Luck's day respectable, and Jarvis Landry's punt return TD was a nice double dip, somewhat salvaging the 1pm games for BAM while Levine got a great performance from the Carolina D and a middling day for Alshon.
The 4pm games is where it looked like BAM put things away. Ingram and John Brown were solid enough, both hitting double digits, but they had to be happy watching AJ Green struggle, as well as Bishop Sankey putting up 20+ on Levine's bench. A seemingly innocent TD by Eric Ebron didn't seem like it would make much of a difference. More on that later...
BAM went into SNF up 75.3-55, with DeMarco and Mike Wallace still to play, likely feeling very confident. When Dez went down early, it looked like that closed the book for Levine. Romo responded with a great finish, but if Eli had literally just fallen down, he wouldn't have gotten the chance to put up another 6 points. More on that later...
Heading into MNF, Levine had taken the lead 99-75.3. Not a small margin, but with DeMarco taking on one of the worst defenses in the league, as well as whatever Mike Wallace has to offer, BAM had to be cautiously optimistic. And then...8 carries for 9 yards? Even two TDs couldn't save the day for Murray, and despite Wallace catching an insane (for him) 6 of 7 targets, Levine wins the week.
Best Start of the Week: Barnard starting Benny Cunningham (12.2) over Fred Jackson (2.9)/Bilal Powell (7.8). This section will typically be populated by someone who won themself a game by making the correct call in a tough lineup decision. Granted, Barnard's decision was only really tough because he drafted horribly, but I digress. Benny Cunningham shouldn't be in the NFL, and playing him against Seattle's D had the potential for a goose egg. If Barnard got stage fright and went conservative, he loses to Zacherman. He made the right call, in a classic blind squirrel/nut situation.
Worst Benching of the Week: Gutman benching James Jones (17.1) for Malcom Floyd (2.9). This section will typically be populated by someone who cost themself a win with a questionable decision. Gutman is totally fucked at WR. Kendall Wright seems to have a connection with Mariota, but I think Gutman's high school team could put up 30 points on Tampa, so that remains to be seen. At the other slot, you had a tough decision, but Malcom Floyd is never the answer. In situations like this, you need to start the guy with the highest upside. Great job picking up Jones. Too bad you were too much of a pussy to use him.
Week 1 (and Overall) Hot Potato: Donnie - 69.1
Week 1 Scoring Leader: Esco - 138
We only have two matchups of teams that won last week, and it's shockingly Alan vs. Bennett and Barnard vs. Esco. Seeing as the winner of those matchups will be looking pretty good at 2-0, I need to feature one of them, which is pretty much the opposite of Sophie's Choice. I was comparatively nice to Barnard earlier, so I'll give him an early wedding gift and talk about him some more
Week 2 Preview: Barnard (1-0) vs. Esco (1-0)
QB: Esco's gamble on Brady paid off in a big way last week, but things could change quickly in Week 2. Since the dawn of time, the way to get Brady to play poorly is to make him move his feet, and Buffalo blitzed the shit out of Luck last week. The Pats O-Line isn't great, so I wouldn't expect another 20+ points from Tom. However, you're going up against the biggest QB clusterfuck in the league, so even if Carson has a good day against the Bears, I would expect both Kaepernick and Mariota to outscore him, as Barnard will never pick the right QB. Edge: Esco.
RB: Until Barnard gets Bell back (and potentially after that), he automatically loses this category, but we can't gloss over Esco's RB situation. I've been an Ivory fan for years, but I wasn't high on Forte this year, and thought Abdullah would take few weeks to win the job, but things look different now. Forte was Chicago's entire offense, and even if that offense isn't great, it still means lots of fantasy points. As for Abdullah, he looks extremely legit. With Blount and Mathews on his bench, Esco has the deepest stable of RBs in the league. Big Edge: Esco.
WR: Hilton's injury is definitely unfortunate for the Nard Dog, but Watkins should bounce back after being completely shut down by Vontae Davis. I would assume the trio of Fitz/Marshall/Watkins will technically outscore Hopkins and VJax, but there's only one stud here. Ryan Mallet must think that Hopkins looks like his Meth dealer, because he only throws the ball that way. Slight Edge: Esco.
TE: I'm going to pretend that the Chiefs didn't already play, and talk about how absurdly good Kelce looked last week. With a competent QB, Kelce could be the next Gronk, minus all the weird shit. He was the focus of Denver's D last night, and didn't find the endzone, but he's still better than Charles Clay. Big Edge: Barnard.
D/ST: I'll cover the Broncos D in a minute, but most of the time this decision will be based on matchups. Houston is playing a Panthers team relying on Ted Ginn and Jericho Cotchery, and they also have J.J. Watt. STL is going up against human turnover machine Kirk Cousins and has Aaron Donald, the scariest man in the NFL not named Watt. Barring a defensive TD, I think this will be close, but I'll give it to the best front four in the league. Slight Edge: Esco.
Verdict: With his perpetual depth, the weakest time of the year for Esco's teams is usually September. If he gets off to a hot start, I fully expect him to get a bye, which is no bueno for the rest of us. If he was a nice guy, he would give Barnard a win as a wedding gift, but we all know who we're talking about. Winner: Esco.
2015 Record: 0-1
Best Pickup of the Week: Chris Johnson for $41 by BAM. Not a lot of great value on the waiver wire this week, but CJ?K is the starter for at least the next couple of weeks in Arizona, potentially longer given that Andre Ellington is not good at football even when he's healthy. This type of situation usually costs upwards of $70 in auctions, so I'm calling $41 a value, even if CJ plays like he has for the last few years. More starting RBs is never a bad thing, especially when it comes to trades.
Worst Pickup of the Week: Broncos D for $21 by Esco. No backup defense is worth over 10% of our season-long budget, I don't care if it's the '85 Bears. I had this written before the game last night, and even though they put up 20, I stand by it. You're also the early front-runner for "Worst Benching of Week 2" because YOU DIDN'T EVEN START THEM! Honorable mention to Barnard spending $8 on his 3rd QB in a league that only starts one.
Week 1 Recap:
In the "Game of the Week", neither team broke 85, and Donnie is the current Hot Potato thanks to apparently drafting Archie Manning as his QB. So let's take a look at the actual best game of the week:
Levine (99) over BAM (95.6)
Things started out rough right off the bat for Billy and Marshall, with the Colts getting destroyed, Miami failing to blow out the Skins, and Cam Newton forgetting that he has literally one person worth throwing the ball to. A couple of garbage time TDs made Luck's day respectable, and Jarvis Landry's punt return TD was a nice double dip, somewhat salvaging the 1pm games for BAM while Levine got a great performance from the Carolina D and a middling day for Alshon.
The 4pm games is where it looked like BAM put things away. Ingram and John Brown were solid enough, both hitting double digits, but they had to be happy watching AJ Green struggle, as well as Bishop Sankey putting up 20+ on Levine's bench. A seemingly innocent TD by Eric Ebron didn't seem like it would make much of a difference. More on that later...
BAM went into SNF up 75.3-55, with DeMarco and Mike Wallace still to play, likely feeling very confident. When Dez went down early, it looked like that closed the book for Levine. Romo responded with a great finish, but if Eli had literally just fallen down, he wouldn't have gotten the chance to put up another 6 points. More on that later...
Heading into MNF, Levine had taken the lead 99-75.3. Not a small margin, but with DeMarco taking on one of the worst defenses in the league, as well as whatever Mike Wallace has to offer, BAM had to be cautiously optimistic. And then...8 carries for 9 yards? Even two TDs couldn't save the day for Murray, and despite Wallace catching an insane (for him) 6 of 7 targets, Levine wins the week.
Best Start of the Week: Barnard starting Benny Cunningham (12.2) over Fred Jackson (2.9)/Bilal Powell (7.8). This section will typically be populated by someone who won themself a game by making the correct call in a tough lineup decision. Granted, Barnard's decision was only really tough because he drafted horribly, but I digress. Benny Cunningham shouldn't be in the NFL, and playing him against Seattle's D had the potential for a goose egg. If Barnard got stage fright and went conservative, he loses to Zacherman. He made the right call, in a classic blind squirrel/nut situation.
Worst Benching of the Week: Gutman benching James Jones (17.1) for Malcom Floyd (2.9). This section will typically be populated by someone who cost themself a win with a questionable decision. Gutman is totally fucked at WR. Kendall Wright seems to have a connection with Mariota, but I think Gutman's high school team could put up 30 points on Tampa, so that remains to be seen. At the other slot, you had a tough decision, but Malcom Floyd is never the answer. In situations like this, you need to start the guy with the highest upside. Great job picking up Jones. Too bad you were too much of a pussy to use him.
Week 1 (and Overall) Hot Potato: Donnie - 69.1
Week 1 Scoring Leader: Esco - 138
We only have two matchups of teams that won last week, and it's shockingly Alan vs. Bennett and Barnard vs. Esco. Seeing as the winner of those matchups will be looking pretty good at 2-0, I need to feature one of them, which is pretty much the opposite of Sophie's Choice. I was comparatively nice to Barnard earlier, so I'll give him an early wedding gift and talk about him some more
Week 2 Preview: Barnard (1-0) vs. Esco (1-0)
QB: Esco's gamble on Brady paid off in a big way last week, but things could change quickly in Week 2. Since the dawn of time, the way to get Brady to play poorly is to make him move his feet, and Buffalo blitzed the shit out of Luck last week. The Pats O-Line isn't great, so I wouldn't expect another 20+ points from Tom. However, you're going up against the biggest QB clusterfuck in the league, so even if Carson has a good day against the Bears, I would expect both Kaepernick and Mariota to outscore him, as Barnard will never pick the right QB. Edge: Esco.
RB: Until Barnard gets Bell back (and potentially after that), he automatically loses this category, but we can't gloss over Esco's RB situation. I've been an Ivory fan for years, but I wasn't high on Forte this year, and thought Abdullah would take few weeks to win the job, but things look different now. Forte was Chicago's entire offense, and even if that offense isn't great, it still means lots of fantasy points. As for Abdullah, he looks extremely legit. With Blount and Mathews on his bench, Esco has the deepest stable of RBs in the league. Big Edge: Esco.
WR: Hilton's injury is definitely unfortunate for the Nard Dog, but Watkins should bounce back after being completely shut down by Vontae Davis. I would assume the trio of Fitz/Marshall/Watkins will technically outscore Hopkins and VJax, but there's only one stud here. Ryan Mallet must think that Hopkins looks like his Meth dealer, because he only throws the ball that way. Slight Edge: Esco.
TE: I'm going to pretend that the Chiefs didn't already play, and talk about how absurdly good Kelce looked last week. With a competent QB, Kelce could be the next Gronk, minus all the weird shit. He was the focus of Denver's D last night, and didn't find the endzone, but he's still better than Charles Clay. Big Edge: Barnard.
D/ST: I'll cover the Broncos D in a minute, but most of the time this decision will be based on matchups. Houston is playing a Panthers team relying on Ted Ginn and Jericho Cotchery, and they also have J.J. Watt. STL is going up against human turnover machine Kirk Cousins and has Aaron Donald, the scariest man in the NFL not named Watt. Barring a defensive TD, I think this will be close, but I'll give it to the best front four in the league. Slight Edge: Esco.
Verdict: With his perpetual depth, the weakest time of the year for Esco's teams is usually September. If he gets off to a hot start, I fully expect him to get a bye, which is no bueno for the rest of us. If he was a nice guy, he would give Barnard a win as a wedding gift, but we all know who we're talking about. Winner: Esco.
2015 Record: 0-1
Best Pickup of the Week: Chris Johnson for $41 by BAM. Not a lot of great value on the waiver wire this week, but CJ?K is the starter for at least the next couple of weeks in Arizona, potentially longer given that Andre Ellington is not good at football even when he's healthy. This type of situation usually costs upwards of $70 in auctions, so I'm calling $41 a value, even if CJ plays like he has for the last few years. More starting RBs is never a bad thing, especially when it comes to trades.
Worst Pickup of the Week: Broncos D for $21 by Esco. No backup defense is worth over 10% of our season-long budget, I don't care if it's the '85 Bears. I had this written before the game last night, and even though they put up 20, I stand by it. You're also the early front-runner for "Worst Benching of Week 2" because YOU DIDN'T EVEN START THEM! Honorable mention to Barnard spending $8 on his 3rd QB in a league that only starts one.
Wednesday, September 9, 2015
Week 1 Preview
I said that I'd be back this year as FALAFEL's resident blogger, but what I didn't mention is that our beloved CPP is not coming back with me. I know that you're all wildly depressed, but it turns out that maintaining a borderline useless statistic is more time consuming than it's worth. Instead, I'll use this space to recap the best matchup(s) of the previous week, as well as preview the big games in the upcoming week. This does create the possibility that I won't discuss someone's team throughout the entire season, if they aren't a part of any big games, but I'm sure I'll find ways to work Barnard into the discussion in other ways.
With no other scientific way of determining the biggest game of the week, I'll go by the closest/highest scoring prediction by our friends at ESPN.
Week 1 Preview: Donny vs. Joseph
QB: This matchup includes some of the biggest names in the game, and brings with it a huge range of outcomes. That starts at the QB position, with a supposedly 100% Peyton Manning taking on a supposedly 100% Sam Bradford. Bradford has the better matchup, but Peyton put up 7 TDs on opening day against Baltimore two years ago. Things have changed since then, but not enough for me to pick against Peyton. Cut that meat. Edge: Donny
RB: If Arian was healthy, this would be close. If Arian was healthy, he also wouldn't have gone for as cheap in the draft. And if my aunt had balls she'd be my uncle. Marshawn is the obvious big name here, but Isaiah Crowell just got a boost with the trade of Terrance West. Until Duke Johnson gets up to speed, I like Donny's RB combo as much as most in the league. As for Nick, I'm sure that Yeldon and Gordon will have great careers, but in their first NFL games, my hopes aren't too high. Edge: Donny
WR: This is Nick's bread and butter. Dez, Julio and Andre will take down any WR trio in the league, and that includes his holiness Odell Beckham. Donny's only hope here is that a banged up Roddy can capitalize on Julio's double teams. I don't like those odds. Big Edge: Joseph
TE: Not a lot to like here. Whoever scores likely wins. I'll take Larry. Slight Edge: Donny
D/ST: Two solid defenses playing two great offenses. Home field advantage tips it in Zona's favor. Slight Edge: Joseph
Verdict: If Crowell can seize control of the carries in Cleveland and Roddy can stay healthy, then I think Donny is a playoff team. This is his first step. Winner: Donny
Next week I'll have more content, but not a lot has changed since the draft. Until then we can all appreciate the lineup that Barnard is trotting out this week. Zac Stacy!
With no other scientific way of determining the biggest game of the week, I'll go by the closest/highest scoring prediction by our friends at ESPN.
Week 1 Preview: Donny vs. Joseph
QB: This matchup includes some of the biggest names in the game, and brings with it a huge range of outcomes. That starts at the QB position, with a supposedly 100% Peyton Manning taking on a supposedly 100% Sam Bradford. Bradford has the better matchup, but Peyton put up 7 TDs on opening day against Baltimore two years ago. Things have changed since then, but not enough for me to pick against Peyton. Cut that meat. Edge: Donny
RB: If Arian was healthy, this would be close. If Arian was healthy, he also wouldn't have gone for as cheap in the draft. And if my aunt had balls she'd be my uncle. Marshawn is the obvious big name here, but Isaiah Crowell just got a boost with the trade of Terrance West. Until Duke Johnson gets up to speed, I like Donny's RB combo as much as most in the league. As for Nick, I'm sure that Yeldon and Gordon will have great careers, but in their first NFL games, my hopes aren't too high. Edge: Donny
WR: This is Nick's bread and butter. Dez, Julio and Andre will take down any WR trio in the league, and that includes his holiness Odell Beckham. Donny's only hope here is that a banged up Roddy can capitalize on Julio's double teams. I don't like those odds. Big Edge: Joseph
TE: Not a lot to like here. Whoever scores likely wins. I'll take Larry. Slight Edge: Donny
D/ST: Two solid defenses playing two great offenses. Home field advantage tips it in Zona's favor. Slight Edge: Joseph
Verdict: If Crowell can seize control of the carries in Cleveland and Roddy can stay healthy, then I think Donny is a playoff team. This is his first step. Winner: Donny
Next week I'll have more content, but not a lot has changed since the draft. Until then we can all appreciate the lineup that Barnard is trotting out this week. Zac Stacy!
Friday, September 4, 2015
2015 Draft Recap: You're In Carcosa Now
My hands stopped shaking on Tuesday, and I stopped walking with a limp on Thursday, so I think I can safely say I'm now recovered from New Orleans. It's been said over and over, but amazing job planning by the Adams and amazing job not showing up by Barnard. That was definitely a draft to remember, and one that I actually remember more than 50% of, which is a first.
And now, after taking a year off for nuptial duties, I'm back with my annual Draft Recap gimmick: assigning quotes to people and teams that are somewhat relevant to where we just drafted. Four years ago it was The Hangover for Vegas, followed by country music lyrics for Nashville, and then Forrest Gump quotes for Savannah. This year I was surprised at the relative lack of movies set in New Orleans. There are scenes from a lot of movies that were filmed in NOLA, but most of them are thrillers, like The Pelican Brief and Runaway Jury, which doesn't really lend itself to this exercise. The front runner is probably A Streetcar Named Desire, or just using jazz lyrics, but both of those are somewhat depressing.
So that leaves me with a show that didn't take place in The Big Easy at all, but was still full of that bayou flavor. And also full of McConaughey, which is always a good thing. Without further ado, our 2015 Draft Recap, set to quotes from Season One of True Detective.
Detective Rust Cohle: What do you think the average IQ of this group is, huh? Detective Martin Hart: Can you see Texas up there on your high horse? What do you know about these people? Detective Rust Cohle: Just observation and deduction. I see a propensity for obesity. Poverty. A yen for fairy tales. Folks puttin' what few bucks they do have into a little wicker basket being passed around. I think it's safe to say nobody here's gonna be splitting the atom, Marty.
This quote goes to all of the non-league members at the draft. Woods, Katz, Frink, ARy, Kallman and Marco (and Ivan), I appreciate your dedication of sitting in a college bar for 4 hours playing shuffleboard, but I also pity you for not coming up with literally anything else to do during that time. That said, the more the merrier at these events, and for the most part your presence was appreciated. But none of you are gonna be splitting the atom.
Detective Martin Hart: Do you wonder ever if you're a bad man?
Detective Rust Cohle: No. I don't wonder, Marty. World needs bad men. We keep the other bad men from the door.
This goes to our commissioner and resident asshole, Joseph. The world needs bad men and this league needs an asshole. It's not going to be nearly as enjoyable to hear Nick's rants when he doesn't have a team in the hunt. That would be like Lowe making fun of Barnard's RB situation. You want to be like Lowe, Nick? As for your team, I like the double barreled WR stud approach, as it worked well for me last year in terms of total points. However I still missed the playoffs, and I spent about $20 less on my guys last year. Combining that with $22 potentially lit on fire for Arian Foster, and I can easily see you starting 0-4. I like the Tannehill value though.
Detective Rust Cohle: Do I strike you as a talker or a doer, Steve?
This one-liner goes to last year's runner-up, Levine. I don't think he spoke one word during the entire draft, yet as usual he walked away with a very deep team. His collection of RBs likely won't scare anyone on their own, but if one of the Cowboys or Giants guys emerges as a stud, he's going to be competitive on a weekly basis. This is a playoff team for sure.
Detective Rust Cohle: This place is like somebody's memory of a town, and the memory is fading. It's like there was never anything here but jungle.
Detective Martin Hart: Stop saying shit like that. It's unprofessional.
Can't you just picture Billy and Marshall having this conversation? I don't know who is who, but it doesn't even really matter. Our most absurd team lived up to their billing last weekend, with Marshall consuming at least 72 raw oysters in 48 hours, and Billy projectile vomiting off a swamp tour boat. As for their team, in Billy's words, "Our strategy was to go big on runningbacks. Going big on quarterback was an impulse." I'm wary to ever bet against this team, and even after going all in on QB/RB, they have a pretty solid group of receivers to choose from, not to mention Greg Olsen, who could easily finish as TE2. This is playoff team #2.
Detective Rust Cohle: Can you get pills pretty easy?
[inhales deeply on cigarette]
Detective Rust Cohle: Relax, I want some.
Lucy: Speed?
Detective Rust Cohle: No! Quaaludes, anything barbital.
This goes to Z for obvious reasons, but also because he accidentally bought coke, which just an amazing sentence to type. That seems like something that should happen to Alan, not someone as... experienced as Z-Ball. Your team is three players deep, and one of those players lost his favorite weapon. If this was 2012, I'd say your team is a contender, but I just don't see a lot here outside of the top guys, despite great value on Colston and Steve Smith. $14 for Owen Daniels?!?
Detective Rust Cohle: I'd consider myself a realist, alright? But in philosophical terms I'm what's called a pessimist.
Poor Gutman. If anyone else even had a slight internet connection issue, we paused the entire draft. Gutman spent 29% of his money on a Tight End, which is just absurd, and he was on autobid at the time. I've never known Gut to be a huge fan of his teams after the draft, but this one seems to be a new low. On the bright side, 16 games of Brady should definitely help, and I'm a big fan of the CJ/Forsett/Blue trio at RB. On the down side, Malcom Floyd and Kendall Wright are your starting WRs, and you spent $58 on a Tight End.
Detective Martin Hart: Shit, man, look, I've noticed you have a tendency toward myopia, tunnel vision... blows investigations... vision skews, twists evidence. You're... You're obsessive.
Detective Rust Cohle: You're obsessive too, just not about the job.
Detective Martin Hart: Not me, brother. I keep things... even, separate. Like the way I can have just one beer without needing 20.
Detective Rust Cohle: People incapable of guilt usually do have a good time.
This exchange goes to the Bennett/Mejia duo, which clearly needs a nickname. I have to say, I thoroughly and surprisingly enjoyed hanging out with a wasted Bennett in NOLA. I don't think I even spoke to him when he was sober, but Wasted Bennett is a good guy, get to know him. As for Mejia, his $2 bid on Green Bay's defense when they already had a D was a microcosm of what it's like to have Mejia involved in anything. Your team is silly deep at receiver, which could make us trade partners in the future, but lacking at RB and TE. Regardless, considering you were each 5 shots deep before the draft started, and starting out at an already low level of fantasy competence, I don't hate your team.
Detective Rust Cohle: Life's barely long enough to get good at one thing. So be careful what you get good at.
This goes to Donny, and is actually not in reference to his quoting ability. Well it is in reference to that, but it's also in reference to his buyer's remorse over spending $30 on Peyton. It's always nice to have Peyton on your team, but it comes at a price. And that price is having to start Isaiah Crowell at RB2 and Roddy at your Flex. Marshawn will be a no doubt stud, but you're putting a lot of faith in the health of Peyton and your lord and savior Odell Beckham. Good luck.
Detective Ani Bezzerides: I don't know...I mean can I say? I just really like big dicks. No, it's not just length. Everyone's always talking length. But, I mean that's fine. I mean...girth too. I really want to have trouble handcuffing the thing.
This goes to Barnard for so many reasons. One, I mean, come on. Two, he wasn't in NOLA, so he doesn't get a NOLA quote. Three, no one liked True Detective Season Two. But most importantly, he really does have trouble handcuffing. Your RB situation is already sub-par even when Bell is playing, but you basically punted the first two games of the season. Outside of RB, I like TY Hilton, but other than that, it's basically the Barnard equivalent of a fantasy team. Don't show Alexis your roster, or the wedding may be called off.
Detective Rust Cohle: Are you watching me sleep?
Detective Marty Hart: You know what, I just got here. I was gonna leave, but then you woke up. Jesus, what's your fucking problem.
Detective Rust Cohle: Nothing much of a problem.
Detective Marty Hart: Not a care in the world.
This exchange goes to our champs, who not only most likely watch each other sleep, but also currently have two chef coats and not a care in the world. This in until the season starts, because outside of Lacy, this team is the definition of meh. There's some nice lotto tickets here with Bryant, Funchess and Cobb, but it would require more than one of those to hit for you to repeat. At least you have the most expensive kicker and defense! And the aforementioned chef coats, which may well have been the peak of your lives.
Detective Rust Cohle: I'm not supposed to be here.
Detective Marty Hart: Yea... well, I'll come back by tomorrow buddy.
Detective Rust Cohle: Why?
Detective Marty Hart: Don't ever change man.
This goes to Alan, who has repeatedly tried to leave the league as well, just so we'll beg him to stay, and he can sheepishly accept our request. Everyone knows he won't leave, but the first ever Stevens Bowl Champ refuses to change. Also, in NOLA he didn't change his shirt, so this is doubly appropriate. Your team is interesting. It seems like your sole purpose was to fuck over Barnard, and to that I tip my cap to you sir. But once his RBs are playing, that means yours are not. I think we can all appreciate falling on the sword to prevent Barnard's success, but you may have taken it to an extreme. Rodgers/Graham/Antonio will win you some weeks by themselves, but if any of them falters, you're probably going to lose.
Detective Rust Cohle: Well, I can't say the job made me this way. More like bein' this way made me right for the job. I used to think about it more, but you reach a certain age, you know who you are. Now, I live in a little room out in the country behind a bar... work four nights a week... in between I drink. And there ain't nobody there to stop me. I know who I am. And after all these years, there's a... victory in that.
For as long as I can remember, Esco has drafted the same way. Never splurging on a top-tier stud, and then raking up all the $15 players he wants while the rest of us are out of money. It won him a chef's coat two years ago, and put him in last place last year. That's a pretty huge range of outcomes, but he is who he is. This year he mini-splurged on Forte, then hung back and pulled in four RBs, Torrey Smith, and as it turns out, Tom Brady, at huge bargains. RB2 and Flex are going to be tough decisions each week, but I think this is another playoff team.
Detective Rust Cohle: He ain't gonna talk with you.
Detective Marty Hart: I got a car battery and two jumper cables argue different.
The line that sounds most like it would be spoken by Vin Diesel obviously goes to Ajay. Honestly, this is my second favorite team. Starting lineup is loaded outside of TE and maaaybe QB, but there's talent there as well. No team is perfect in a 14-team league, but this is a team that will be favored to win most matchups.
Rustin Cohle: Days with nothing... that's what it's like when you work cases. Days like lost dogs.
This goes to Weissbard, who, as FALAFEL's preeminent gamer, has likely "lost" more days than the rest of us combined. And knowing him, he has no regrets. When it comes to his team, however, he may regret spending that much on AP and Cobb, but definitely on Latavius Murray. His bench can't even really be called a bunch of lotto tickets because at least lotto tickets have a chance of winning. I tend to hate on Dan's teams each year, and while he proved me wrong last year, he has a pretty solid track record of coming up short. (Honestly no pun intended, but when I was re-reading this before posting, I laughed)
Detective Rust Cohle: I'm the person least in the need of counseling in this entire fucking state.
I'm giving the last, and cockiest, quote to myself. If I talk shit in this league, it's usually just ripping on other people's teams or personalities, without ever saying anything positive about myself. But I think right now I'm a clear playoff team, and if a third party was betting on who would get a coat this year, it would be me. I'm not claiming to be dominant across the board, but I think only Ajay can compete with my starters, and considering I have 1-2 more starting RBs than anyone else, and currently 3 more than Barnard, I think I'm as set up for success as I've ever been.
So assuming it comes down to me and Ajay in the Stevens Bowl, I'll let Mr. McConaughey himself make an early prediction:
Detective Rust Cohle: Once there was only dark. You ask me, the light's winning.
And now, after taking a year off for nuptial duties, I'm back with my annual Draft Recap gimmick: assigning quotes to people and teams that are somewhat relevant to where we just drafted. Four years ago it was The Hangover for Vegas, followed by country music lyrics for Nashville, and then Forrest Gump quotes for Savannah. This year I was surprised at the relative lack of movies set in New Orleans. There are scenes from a lot of movies that were filmed in NOLA, but most of them are thrillers, like The Pelican Brief and Runaway Jury, which doesn't really lend itself to this exercise. The front runner is probably A Streetcar Named Desire, or just using jazz lyrics, but both of those are somewhat depressing.
So that leaves me with a show that didn't take place in The Big Easy at all, but was still full of that bayou flavor. And also full of McConaughey, which is always a good thing. Without further ado, our 2015 Draft Recap, set to quotes from Season One of True Detective.
Detective Rust Cohle: What do you think the average IQ of this group is, huh? Detective Martin Hart: Can you see Texas up there on your high horse? What do you know about these people? Detective Rust Cohle: Just observation and deduction. I see a propensity for obesity. Poverty. A yen for fairy tales. Folks puttin' what few bucks they do have into a little wicker basket being passed around. I think it's safe to say nobody here's gonna be splitting the atom, Marty.
This quote goes to all of the non-league members at the draft. Woods, Katz, Frink, ARy, Kallman and Marco (and Ivan), I appreciate your dedication of sitting in a college bar for 4 hours playing shuffleboard, but I also pity you for not coming up with literally anything else to do during that time. That said, the more the merrier at these events, and for the most part your presence was appreciated. But none of you are gonna be splitting the atom.
Detective Martin Hart: Do you wonder ever if you're a bad man?
Detective Rust Cohle: No. I don't wonder, Marty. World needs bad men. We keep the other bad men from the door.
This goes to our commissioner and resident asshole, Joseph. The world needs bad men and this league needs an asshole. It's not going to be nearly as enjoyable to hear Nick's rants when he doesn't have a team in the hunt. That would be like Lowe making fun of Barnard's RB situation. You want to be like Lowe, Nick? As for your team, I like the double barreled WR stud approach, as it worked well for me last year in terms of total points. However I still missed the playoffs, and I spent about $20 less on my guys last year. Combining that with $22 potentially lit on fire for Arian Foster, and I can easily see you starting 0-4. I like the Tannehill value though.
Detective Rust Cohle: Do I strike you as a talker or a doer, Steve?
This one-liner goes to last year's runner-up, Levine. I don't think he spoke one word during the entire draft, yet as usual he walked away with a very deep team. His collection of RBs likely won't scare anyone on their own, but if one of the Cowboys or Giants guys emerges as a stud, he's going to be competitive on a weekly basis. This is a playoff team for sure.
Detective Rust Cohle: This place is like somebody's memory of a town, and the memory is fading. It's like there was never anything here but jungle.
Detective Martin Hart: Stop saying shit like that. It's unprofessional.
Can't you just picture Billy and Marshall having this conversation? I don't know who is who, but it doesn't even really matter. Our most absurd team lived up to their billing last weekend, with Marshall consuming at least 72 raw oysters in 48 hours, and Billy projectile vomiting off a swamp tour boat. As for their team, in Billy's words, "Our strategy was to go big on runningbacks. Going big on quarterback was an impulse." I'm wary to ever bet against this team, and even after going all in on QB/RB, they have a pretty solid group of receivers to choose from, not to mention Greg Olsen, who could easily finish as TE2. This is playoff team #2.
Detective Rust Cohle: Can you get pills pretty easy?
[inhales deeply on cigarette]
Detective Rust Cohle: Relax, I want some.
Lucy: Speed?
Detective Rust Cohle: No! Quaaludes, anything barbital.
This goes to Z for obvious reasons, but also because he accidentally bought coke, which just an amazing sentence to type. That seems like something that should happen to Alan, not someone as... experienced as Z-Ball. Your team is three players deep, and one of those players lost his favorite weapon. If this was 2012, I'd say your team is a contender, but I just don't see a lot here outside of the top guys, despite great value on Colston and Steve Smith. $14 for Owen Daniels?!?
Detective Rust Cohle: I'd consider myself a realist, alright? But in philosophical terms I'm what's called a pessimist.
Poor Gutman. If anyone else even had a slight internet connection issue, we paused the entire draft. Gutman spent 29% of his money on a Tight End, which is just absurd, and he was on autobid at the time. I've never known Gut to be a huge fan of his teams after the draft, but this one seems to be a new low. On the bright side, 16 games of Brady should definitely help, and I'm a big fan of the CJ/Forsett/Blue trio at RB. On the down side, Malcom Floyd and Kendall Wright are your starting WRs, and you spent $58 on a Tight End.
Detective Martin Hart: Shit, man, look, I've noticed you have a tendency toward myopia, tunnel vision... blows investigations... vision skews, twists evidence. You're... You're obsessive.
Detective Rust Cohle: You're obsessive too, just not about the job.
Detective Martin Hart: Not me, brother. I keep things... even, separate. Like the way I can have just one beer without needing 20.
Detective Rust Cohle: People incapable of guilt usually do have a good time.
This exchange goes to the Bennett/Mejia duo, which clearly needs a nickname. I have to say, I thoroughly and surprisingly enjoyed hanging out with a wasted Bennett in NOLA. I don't think I even spoke to him when he was sober, but Wasted Bennett is a good guy, get to know him. As for Mejia, his $2 bid on Green Bay's defense when they already had a D was a microcosm of what it's like to have Mejia involved in anything. Your team is silly deep at receiver, which could make us trade partners in the future, but lacking at RB and TE. Regardless, considering you were each 5 shots deep before the draft started, and starting out at an already low level of fantasy competence, I don't hate your team.
Detective Rust Cohle: Life's barely long enough to get good at one thing. So be careful what you get good at.
This goes to Donny, and is actually not in reference to his quoting ability. Well it is in reference to that, but it's also in reference to his buyer's remorse over spending $30 on Peyton. It's always nice to have Peyton on your team, but it comes at a price. And that price is having to start Isaiah Crowell at RB2 and Roddy at your Flex. Marshawn will be a no doubt stud, but you're putting a lot of faith in the health of Peyton and your lord and savior Odell Beckham. Good luck.
Detective Ani Bezzerides: I don't know...I mean can I say? I just really like big dicks. No, it's not just length. Everyone's always talking length. But, I mean that's fine. I mean...girth too. I really want to have trouble handcuffing the thing.
This goes to Barnard for so many reasons. One, I mean, come on. Two, he wasn't in NOLA, so he doesn't get a NOLA quote. Three, no one liked True Detective Season Two. But most importantly, he really does have trouble handcuffing. Your RB situation is already sub-par even when Bell is playing, but you basically punted the first two games of the season. Outside of RB, I like TY Hilton, but other than that, it's basically the Barnard equivalent of a fantasy team. Don't show Alexis your roster, or the wedding may be called off.
Detective Rust Cohle: Are you watching me sleep?
Detective Marty Hart: You know what, I just got here. I was gonna leave, but then you woke up. Jesus, what's your fucking problem.
Detective Rust Cohle: Nothing much of a problem.
Detective Marty Hart: Not a care in the world.
This exchange goes to our champs, who not only most likely watch each other sleep, but also currently have two chef coats and not a care in the world. This in until the season starts, because outside of Lacy, this team is the definition of meh. There's some nice lotto tickets here with Bryant, Funchess and Cobb, but it would require more than one of those to hit for you to repeat. At least you have the most expensive kicker and defense! And the aforementioned chef coats, which may well have been the peak of your lives.
Detective Rust Cohle: I'm not supposed to be here.
Detective Marty Hart: Yea... well, I'll come back by tomorrow buddy.
Detective Rust Cohle: Why?
Detective Marty Hart: Don't ever change man.
This goes to Alan, who has repeatedly tried to leave the league as well, just so we'll beg him to stay, and he can sheepishly accept our request. Everyone knows he won't leave, but the first ever Stevens Bowl Champ refuses to change. Also, in NOLA he didn't change his shirt, so this is doubly appropriate. Your team is interesting. It seems like your sole purpose was to fuck over Barnard, and to that I tip my cap to you sir. But once his RBs are playing, that means yours are not. I think we can all appreciate falling on the sword to prevent Barnard's success, but you may have taken it to an extreme. Rodgers/Graham/Antonio will win you some weeks by themselves, but if any of them falters, you're probably going to lose.
Detective Rust Cohle: Well, I can't say the job made me this way. More like bein' this way made me right for the job. I used to think about it more, but you reach a certain age, you know who you are. Now, I live in a little room out in the country behind a bar... work four nights a week... in between I drink. And there ain't nobody there to stop me. I know who I am. And after all these years, there's a... victory in that.
For as long as I can remember, Esco has drafted the same way. Never splurging on a top-tier stud, and then raking up all the $15 players he wants while the rest of us are out of money. It won him a chef's coat two years ago, and put him in last place last year. That's a pretty huge range of outcomes, but he is who he is. This year he mini-splurged on Forte, then hung back and pulled in four RBs, Torrey Smith, and as it turns out, Tom Brady, at huge bargains. RB2 and Flex are going to be tough decisions each week, but I think this is another playoff team.
Detective Rust Cohle: He ain't gonna talk with you.
Detective Marty Hart: I got a car battery and two jumper cables argue different.
The line that sounds most like it would be spoken by Vin Diesel obviously goes to Ajay. Honestly, this is my second favorite team. Starting lineup is loaded outside of TE and maaaybe QB, but there's talent there as well. No team is perfect in a 14-team league, but this is a team that will be favored to win most matchups.
Rustin Cohle: Days with nothing... that's what it's like when you work cases. Days like lost dogs.
This goes to Weissbard, who, as FALAFEL's preeminent gamer, has likely "lost" more days than the rest of us combined. And knowing him, he has no regrets. When it comes to his team, however, he may regret spending that much on AP and Cobb, but definitely on Latavius Murray. His bench can't even really be called a bunch of lotto tickets because at least lotto tickets have a chance of winning. I tend to hate on Dan's teams each year, and while he proved me wrong last year, he has a pretty solid track record of coming up short. (Honestly no pun intended, but when I was re-reading this before posting, I laughed)
Detective Rust Cohle: I'm the person least in the need of counseling in this entire fucking state.
I'm giving the last, and cockiest, quote to myself. If I talk shit in this league, it's usually just ripping on other people's teams or personalities, without ever saying anything positive about myself. But I think right now I'm a clear playoff team, and if a third party was betting on who would get a coat this year, it would be me. I'm not claiming to be dominant across the board, but I think only Ajay can compete with my starters, and considering I have 1-2 more starting RBs than anyone else, and currently 3 more than Barnard, I think I'm as set up for success as I've ever been.
So assuming it comes down to me and Ajay in the Stevens Bowl, I'll let Mr. McConaughey himself make an early prediction:
Detective Rust Cohle: Once there was only dark. You ask me, the light's winning.
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