Monday, March 30, 2020

2020 FALAFEL Draft Location Madness - Bracket Reveal


Quick thoughts/facts on the bracket:

  • Pittsburgh was the #1 overall seed by a huge margin, with nearly double the points of #2 overall Key West. It appeared on 7/16 ballots.
    • With a region that includes Wuhan and repeat-location Nashville as its toughest competitors, Pitt should roll to the Final Four unless we see some random love for Burlington or Madison.
  • The years-long push by Bennett to get Key West into contention seems to have finally paid off, as it gets a 1 seed and a relatively easy region despite only four people listing it on their ballot.
    • Unless we see another Cinderella run from Cincinnati, we're likely seeing Key West and Seattle in the Elite Eight, which literally cannot be farther away from each other in the continental United States, and are also backed by Bennett and Nick respectively. I'm looking forward to that one.
  • The bottom regions should be more competitive as the 1 seeds both are relatively difficult to get to for a long weekend.
    • I can see Asheville, Chicago, or the Poconos easily coming out of their region, though Asheville was on the second most ballots overall, only one behind Pittsburgh, which indicates a lot of lukewarm support.
    • Portland, OR as a 1 seed was a bit of a surprise, and will face stiff competition from Austin, Las Vegas, and Montreal.
  • Almost every city nominated made the bracket, as the only two that did not were Asbury Park (Alan) and Washington DC (Weissbard). My tiebreak for cities with only 1 point is whichever ballot came in first, so you snooze you lose.
    • I think we're going to need more information on are Des Moines (Belf) and Wisconsin Dells (Z), and if anyone is really serious about the international locations, I'm going to want to see a VRBO listing to prove we can stay somewhere with adequate plumbing.

Monday, March 9, 2020

Gambling Corner - Week of 3/9

NBA Bets

Last Week: 2-1
2019 Record: 19-21-2 (-3.92 units)
Historical Win Percentage: 51.85% (-22.82 units)

NCAAB Bets
Miami (+4) vs. Clemson - Loss
Georgia (+3) vs. Mississippi - Win
Last Week: 6-9
2019-20 Record: 39-46 (-8.73 units)
Historical Win Percentage: 52.59% (-20.58 units)

EPL Spread Bets

Last Week: 2-0
2019-20 Record: 44-40-13 (-4.56 units)
Historical Win Percentage: 52.73% (-4.46 units)

EPL Moneyline Bets

Last Week: 2-2
2019-20 Record: 26-17 (+1.40 units)
Historical Win Percentage: 46.40% (-10.06 units)

Champions League Spread Bets
PSG (-0.5) vs. Dortmund - Win
Last Week: 2-1
2019-20 Record: 13-14-6 (-2.95 units)
Historical Win Percentage: 58.89% (-2.95 units)

Champions League Moneyline Bets
Liverpool (-175) vs. Atletico Madrid - Win
Last Week: 0-1
2019-20 Record: 7-4 (+2.60 units)
Historical Win Percentage: 42.11% (+4.17 units)

MLS Spread Bets

Last Week: 3-1-1
2019-20 Record: 3-1-1 (+1.45 units)
Historical Win Percentage: 53.03% (+0.34 units)

MLS Moneyline Bets

Last Week: 1-1
2019-20 Record: 1-1 (-0.49 units)
Historical Win Percentage: 45.00% (-0.75 units)

Thursday, March 5, 2020

Gambling Corner - Week of 3/2

NBA Bets
Rockets (+2) vs. Clippers - Loss
Kings (+3) at Blazers - Win
Kings (+6) vs. Raptors - Win
Last Week: 0-0
2019 Record: 19-21-2 (-3.92 units)
Historical Win Percentage: 51.85% (-22.82 units)

NCAAB Bets
Houston (-2) at UConn - Loss
Ohio State (-5.5) vs. Illinois - Win
Stanford (+1) at Oregon State - Loss
Wichita State (+2) at Memphis - Loss
Georgetown (+8) vs. Villanova - Win
Wisconsin (+2.5) at Indiana - Win
Kansas (-3) at Texas Tech - Win
Alabama (+1.5) at Missouri - Loss
USC (-3) vs. UCLA - Loss
Louisville (+2) at Virginia - Loss
San Diego State (-5) vs. Utah State - Loss
Oklahoma (+1) at TCU - Win
Butler (+2.5) at Xavier - Win
Michigan (+4.5) at Maryland - Loss
Ohio State (+6.5) at Michigan State - Loss
Last Week: 2-7
2019-20 Record: 38-45 (-8.64 units)
Historical Win Percentage: 52.59% (-20.58 units)

EPL Spread Bets
Newcastle (+1) at Southampton - Win
Crystal Palace (Pick) vs. Watford - Win
Last Week: 1-1-1
2019-20 Record: 44-40-13 (-4.56 units)
Historical Win Percentage: 52.73% (-4.46 units)

EPL Moneyline Bets
Liverpool (-385) vs. Bournemouth - Win
Wolves (-155) vs. Brighton - Loss
Tottenham (+165) at Burnley - Loss
Chelsea (-155) vs. Everton - Win
Last Week: 1-0
2019-20 Record: 26-17 (+1.40 units)
Historical Win Percentage: 46.40% (-10.06 units)

Champions League Spread Bets

Last Week: 2-1
2019-20 Record: 12-14-6 (-3.69 units)
Historical Win Percentage: 58.89% (+3.45 units)

Champions League Moneyline Bets

Last Week: 0-1
2019-20 Record: 6-4 (+3.60 units)
Historical Win Percentage: 42.11% (-5.10 units)

MLS Spread Bets
Montreal (+1) at FC Dallas - Win
Houston (+1) at Sporting KC - Loss
Orlando City (+1) at Colorado - Push
Vancouver (+1.5) at LA Galaxy - Win
Philadelphia (+1.5) at LAFC - Win
2019-20 Record: 3-1-1 (+1.45 units)
Historical Win Percentage: 53.03% (+0.34 units)

MLS Moneyline Bets
Real Salt Lake (+135) vs. NY Red Bulls - Loss
Portland (-195) vs. Nashville - Win
2019-20 Record: 1-1 (-0.49 units)
Historical Win Percentage: 45.00% (-0.75 units)