Week 12 Recap/Rivalry Week Predictions

Lots to get through this week, so let's jump right in.

Playoff Odds

After Week 12:
We have never had a team start 12-0, 11-1, or 10-2
100% (5/5) of 9-3 teams make the playoffs
100% (7/7) of 8-4 teams make the playoffs
67% (8/12) of 7-5 teams make the playoffs
30% (3/10) of 6-6 teams make the playoffs
13% (1/8) of 5-7 teams make the playoffs
0% (0/7) of  4-8 teams make the playoffs
0% (0/6) of 3-9 teams make the playoffs
We have never had a team start 2-10, 1-11, or 12-0

After Week 13:
We have never had a team start 13-0, 12-1, or 11-2
100% (2/2) of 10-3 teams make the playoffs
100% (7/7) of 9-4 teams make the playoffs
89% (8/9) of 8-5 teams make the playoffs
55% (6/11) of 7-6 teams make the playoffs
9% (1/11) of 6-7 teams make the playoffs
0% (0/7) of 5-8 teams make the playoffs
0% (0/4) of 4-9 teams make the playoffs
0% (0/5) of 3-10 teams make the playoffs
We have never had a team start 2-11, 1-12, or 0-13

A few potential firsts for us this year. Zacherman has a chance to be the first 11-2 team in the modern era, while BAM has the opposite chance at being the first 2-11 team. Additionally, we're guaranteed to have at best a 6-7 team make the playoffs (our second ever), with the potential for our first 5-8 team. Absolutely great division drafting by Marco.

Alan still holds the Hot Potato with 51.3 points.

Now on to the good stuff...

Playoff Scenarios

If the playoffs started today, the bracket would be:
1. Zacherman (Bye) - Best Record and Chosen People Division Winner
2. Kumpf (Bye) - 2nd Best Record and Levine Division Winner
3. Weissbard - 3rd Best Record
4. Levine - 4th Best Record
5. Marco - Chocolate Starfish Division Winner
6. Belfer - Most Points of Remaining Teams

Now a team-by-team look at what could happen in Week 13, in order of record, as well as which teams everyone should root for (besides themselves obviously) and against. For these purposes, I'm going to assume that no team can make up more than 50 points on any other team. I'm also assuming that it's preferable to get the best seed possible, however the 4 seed is likely preferable to the 3 seed as they get to face the Chocolate Starfish division winner instead of the NiJo Rule winner.

1. Zacherman
Already clinched the #1 seed, bye, and regular season prize. Week 13 only matters for him to win his Rivalry Week matchup with Ajay and get fifty more dollars. HOWEVER, if Z thinks Ajay is a weaker team than Marco/Alan/Reap, he could throw the matchup to boost Ajay's chances. If the Chocolate Starfish division winner somehow beats me, Weissbard, or Levine in the first round, they would face Z in the semi-finals. Between that and $50, I think we all know which side Z will choose.
Needs to root for: Injuries to his competitors?

2. Kumpf
Already clinched the playoffs. Can clinch a bye by beating Levine, or by losing and Weissbard also losing. Given my point total, I can't fall below 3rd place.
Needs to root for: Esco
Needs to root against: Weissbard

3. Weissbard
Already clinched the playoffs. Can clinch a bye by beating Esco and Kumpf losing. If he loses, Weissbard can only fall to 4th if Levine beats Kumpf and outscores Weissbard by 34.9.
Needs to root for: Levine, but not too much.
Needs to root against: Kumpf

Now it gets interesting. Remember that the 5 seed is reserved for the Chocolate Starfish Division winner.

4. Levine
Can end up anywhere from 3rd to out of the playoffs
3 seed: Levine wins, Weissbard loses, and Levine outscores Weissbard by 34.9.
4 seed: Levine wins, Weissbard loses, and Levine doesn't outscore Weissbard by 34.9 OR Levine loses, Bennett loses, and Belfer doesn't outscore Levine by 27.4.
6 seed: Levine loses, Bennett wins, and Belfer doesn't outscore Levine by 27.4.
Out of the playoffs: Levine loses, Bennett wins, and Belfer outscores Levine by 27.4
Needs to root for: BAM, Esco
Needs to root against: Belfer, Bennett, Weissbard

5. Bennett
Can end up anywhere from 4th to out of the playoffs
4 seed: Bennett wins, Levine loses.
6 seed: Levine wins and Bennett outscores Belfer by 34.3.
Out of the playoffs: Levine wins and Bennett doesn't outscore Belfer by 34.3
Needs to root for: Kumpf
Needs to root against: Belfer, Levine

6. Belfer
Can end up anywhere for 4th to out of the playoffs
4 seed: Levine loses, Bennett loses, Belfer outscores Levine by 27.4, and Bennett doesn't outscore Belfer by 34.3
6 seed: Levine wins and Bennett doesn't outscore Belfer by 34.3 OR Levine loses, Bennett wins, and Belfer outscores Levine by 27.4.
Out of the playoffs: Levine loses, Bennett wins and Belfer doesn't outscore Levine by 27.4 OR Levine wins and Bennett outscores Belfer by 34.3
Needs to root for: BAM
Needs to root against: Bennett
It's complicated: Levine

7. Gutman
Can only make the playoffs as the 6th seed
6 seed: Gutman wins, Bennett loses, and Gutman outscores Bennett by 25.1
Out of the playoffs: Gutman loses OR Gutman wins and Bennett wins OR Gutman wins, Bennett loses, and Gutman doesn't outscore Bennett by 25.1
Needs to root for: BAM
Needs to root against: Bennett

8. Barnard
Can't make the playoffs without outscoring Bennett by over 50. If we're considering that possible, his situation is the same as Gutman, just with an additional 26.7 points necessary. He would also need to outscore Gutman by 26.7, and without Fournette, I don't see that happening.

Now we get to the Chocolate Starfish Division Championship

9. Marco
Can only make the playoffs as the 5th seed
5 seed:. Marco wins OR Marco, Ajay, Alan and Reap all lose
Out of the playoffs: Marco loses, and Ajay, Alan, or Reap wins
Needs to root for: Zacherman, Barnard, Belfer
Needs to root against: Ajay, Alan, Reap

10. Ajay
Can only make the playoffs as the 5th seed
5 seed: Ajay wins, Marco loses, Alan doesn't win and outscore Ajay by 43.5, and Reap doesn't win and outscore Ajay by 47.1
Out of playoffs: Ajay loses OR Marco wins OR Ajay wins, Marco loses, and Alan wins and outscores Ajay by 43.5 and/or Reap wins and outscores Ajay by 47.1
Needs to root for: Gutman, Barnard, Belfer
Needs to root against: Marco, Alan, Reap

11. Alan
Can only make the playoffs as the 5th seed
5 seed: Alan wins, Marco loses, Ajay either loses or wins and gets outscored by Alan by 43.5, Reap either loses or wins and doesn't outscore Alan by 3.6
Out of playoffs: Alan loses OR Marco wins OR Alan wins, Marco loses, Ajay wins and doesn't get outscored by Alan by 43.5 and/or Reap wins and outscores Alan by 3.6
Needs to root for: Gutman, Belfer, Zacherman
Needs to root against: Marco, Reap, Ajay

12. Reap
Can only make the playoffs as the 5th seed
5 seed: Reap wins, Marco loses, Ajay either loses or wins and gets outscored by Reap by 47.1, Alan either loses or wins and gets outscored by Reap by 3.6
Out of playoffs: Reap loses OR Marco wins OR Reap wins, Marco loses, Ajay wins and doesn't get outscored by Reap by 47.1 and/or Alan wins and doesn't get outscored by Reap by 3.6
Needs to root for: Gutman, Barnard, Zacherman
Needs to root against: Marco, Alan, Ajay

13. Esco
Literally the least interesting team in the league. Can't make the playoffs, and can't get the Shot Spot. All he can do is win $50 by beating Weissbard and making sure he doesn't get the bye.

14. BAM
Playing for $50 and spite on Bennett, as well as avoiding the only 2-11 season in the ESPN era.

Biggest Matchups of the Week - All Of Them

Quick picks for each Rivalry Week matchup.

Kumpf vs. Levine
Chris Thompson's much anticipated return may cut into AP's workload enough to avoid another MNF collapse for my team. However, AJ Green being injured and/or playing with Jeff Driskel lowers my ceiling enough to make it close. Matchups still are in my favor, and I have to beat Levine at some point right?
Pick: Kumpf

Esco vs. Weissbard
Weissbard's wasteland at receiver should at least open the door for an Esco team that hilariously looks as good as it had all season. The Bears may keep Saquon in check as well, so if Brandin Cooks can steal a TD or two from Gurley and Woods, I actually like Esco's chances. Is this the beginning of the end for Fireball Dan?
Pick: Esco

BAM vs. Bennett
The Eagles playing on MNF means this won't be decided until the last minute. Like Esco, I actually don't mind BAM's team right now, especially against Bennett's Jekyll and Hyde squad. BAM has solid matchups too, but I can't in good conscience pick a team with double digit losses.
Pick: Bennett

Alan vs. Barnard
There's a chance that Alan trading for Emmanuel Sanders single handedly leads him to the playoffs. There's also a chance that the highlight of Barnard's season will be eliminating Alan from the playoffs and using his $50 for a lap dance in front of Alan during next year's draft weekend, as the Muffman calls the stripper a bitch for putting so much weight on Rivalry Week.
Pick: Barnard

Belfer vs. Reap
Per usual, the Steelers will dictate things for Belfer, and I can't say I like the matchup against the Chargers. Combine that with Reap getting Ekeler as an RB1 and this week has the potential to be a nightmare for Belfer.
Pick: Reap

Gutman vs. Marco
The saddest matchup of the weekend could somehow end up with two playoff teams. TNF is enormous for these teams, and the New Orleans scoring distribution will likely decide the matchup. Dallas has been surprisingly solid at defending the pass, and while I don't think that will slow down Brees and Co. too much, it could easily mean that Kamara eliminates Mara.
Pick: Marco

Ajay vs. Zacherman
Z starts his unprecedented double bye week with his Chiefs feasting on Oakland, which could be enough to outscore Ajay on their own. Ajay has solid matchups across the board, but the Jags have been primed for a bounce back for weeks, and that would be poor timing for Luck and Hilton. Ajay's late season run has been admirable, but if Z plays his A-Squad, it will fall short.
Pick: Zacherman

2018 Biggest Matchup Record: 10-5

Gambling Corner - Week of 11/26

NFL Bets
Ravens (+1) at Falcons - Win
Bucs (+4) vs. Panthers - Win
Texans (-6) vs. Browns - Win
Seahawks (-10) vs. 49ers - Win
Redskins (+6) at Eagles - Loss
Last Week: 1-3
2018 Record: 33-23-5 (+5.30 units)
Historical Win Percentage: 54.78% (+19.01 units)

NFL Prop Check-In
Already Won
Packers under 10 wins
Jaguars under 9 wins
Saints over 9.5 wins
Raiders under 7.5 wins
49ers under 8.5 wins

Likely Wins
Colts over 6.5 wins
Giants under 7 wins

TBD
Panthers under 9 wins
Browns over 5.5 wins
Dolphins over 6.5 wins
Patriots over 11 wins
Texans to win the Super Bowl
Chiefs to win the Super Bowl
Bears to win the NFC

Likely Losses
Cardinals over 5.5 wins
Chargers under 9.5 wins
Titans over 8 wins
Falcons to win the Super Bowl
Panthers to win the NFC
Antonio Brown to lead the league in receiving yards (currently 14th, 431 yards behind leader)

Already Lost
Jimmy G to lead the league in passing yards
Jay Ajayi to lead the league in rushing yards

NCAA Football Bets
Utah (+6) vs. Washington (Neutral Site) - Loss
Oklahoma (-8) vs. Texas (Neutral Site) - Win
Stanford (-3) at California - Win
Georgia (+14) vs. Alabama (Neutral Site) - Win
Fresno State (+3) at Boise State - Win
Ohio State (-14) vs. Northwestern (Neutral Site) - Win
Pittsburgh (+28) vs. Clemson (Neutral Site) - Loss
Last Week: 5-5
2018 Record: 46-50-2 (-10.68 units)
Historical Win Percentage: 50.31% (-16.52 units)

NBA Bets
Hornets (+6) vs. Bucks - Win
Warriors (-8) vs. Magic - Loss
Grizzlies (+7) vs. Raptors - Loss
Thunder (-13) vs. Hawks - Win
Suns (+3) vs. Magic - Loss
Bucks (-6.5) at Knicks - Loss
Pelicans (+4.5) at Hornets - Win
Mavericks (+4) vs. Clippers - Win
Blazers (+2.5) at Spurs - Loss
Last Week: 4-4
2018-19 Record: 28-27 (-3.80 units)
Historical Win Percentage: 50.4% (-24.36 units)

NCAA Basketball Bets
Minnesota (+2.5) at Boston College - Loss
Wisconsin (-2) at Iowa - Win
Oklahoma State (+5.5) at Minnesota - Loss
San Francisco (+5) vs. Buffalo (Neutral Site) - Win
Louisville (+4.5) at Seton Hall - Win
Indiana (-7.5) vs. Northwestern - Loss
Kansas State (+4) at Marquette - Loss
Oregon (+4.5) at Houston - Win
Arizona (-1) at Connecticut - Win
Nebraska (-12) vs. Illinois - Win
Ohio State (-5.5) vs. Minnesota - Win
Last Week: 5-3-1
2018-19 Record: 14-7-1 (+4.58 units)
Historical Win Percentage: 52.07% (-8.02 units)

EPL Bets (Spread)
Newcastle (Pick) vs. West Ham - Loss
Huddersfield (Pick) vs. Brighton - Loss
Last Week: 3-0
2018-19 Spread Record: 18-17-5 (-3.28 units)
Historical Spread Win Percentage: 53.05% (-2.46 units)

EPL Bets (Moneyline)
Leicester City (+125) vs. Watford - Win
Liverpool (-260) vs. Everton - Win
Last Week: 1-1
2018-19 Moneyline Record: 6-10 (-0.67 units)
Historical Moneyline Win Percentage: 44.62% (-3.81 units)

Champions League (Spread)
AEK Athens (+0.5) vs. Ajax - Loss
Manchester United (-1.5)  vs. Young Boys - Loss
Bayern Munich (-1.5) vs. Benfica - Win
Shakhtar (+1) at Hoffenheim - Win
Lokomotiv (Pick) vs. Galatasaray - Win
Last Week: 3-1-1
2018-19 Spread Record: 16-9-3 (+3.67 units)

Champions League (Moneyline)
CSKA Moscow (-125) vs. Viktoria Plzen - Loss
Tottenham (-130) vs. Inter Milan - Win
Barcelona (-200) at PSV - Win
Last Week 2-2
2018-19 Moneyline Record: 5-7 (-4.11 units)

Week 11 Recap

Week 11 of the NFL season ended with an epic clash of the titans that could double as a Super Bowl preview. Week 12 in FALAFEL has the battle for the #1 seed that could double as a Stevens Bowl preview. Before we get there, we have a lot of playoff ramifications to discuss, starting with the state of the league if the season ended today:

#1 Seed (Bye): Zacherman - Best Record/Chosen People Division Winner
#2 Seed (Bye): Kumpf - 2nd Best Record (Points Scored Tiebreaker)/Levine Division Winner
#3 Seed: Weissbard - 3rd Best Record
#4 Seed: Levine - 4th Best Record (Points Scored Tiebreaker)
#5 Seed: Marco - Chocolate Starfish Division Winner
#6 Seed: Belfer - Most Points of Remaining Teams

Gutman and Bennett are currently on the outside looking in for the #4 seed, while Ajay, Reap and Alan are somehow still alive to take the Chocolate Starfish division.

Playoff Odds

After Week 11:
We have never had a team start 11-0, 10-1, or 9-2
100% (7/7) of 8-3 teams make the playoffs
92% (11/12) of 7-4 teams make the playoffs
40% (4/10) of 6-5 teams make the playoffs
20% (2/10) of 5-6 teams make the playoffs
0% (0/5) of 4-7 teams make the playoffs
0% (0/10 of 3-8 teams make the playoffs
0% (0/1) of 2-9 teams make the playoffs
We have never had a team start 1-10 or 0-11

After Week 12:
We have never had a team start 12-0, 11-1, or 10-2
100% (5/5) of 9-3 teams make the playoffs
100% (7/7) of 8-4 teams make the playoffs
67% (8/12) of 7-5 teams make the playoffs
30% (3/10) of 6-6 teams make the playoffs
13% (1/8) of 5-7 teams make the playoffs
0% (0/7) of  4-8 teams make the playoffs
0% (0/6) of 3-9 teams make the playoffs
We have never had a team start 2-10, 1-11, or 12-0

Again, specific playoff races matter more than history here, but BAM has a chance at being our first 2-10 in the ESPN era. BAM can also clinch the shot spot with a loss, so the drama at the bottom of the league might be over with a week to spare.

Alan had a statement week and claimed the Hot Potato by almost 10 points. With bye weeks mostly over, our first two-time champ is overwhelmingly likely to be our first two-time Hot Potato. I wouldn't fault him in waiting to see BAM (or just Billy's) card before sending his, but it will be hard to top his original card.

Team of the Week - Zacherman
A few teams have a case for this spot (including my third 140 point week this season), but Z gets the spot because of how his team looks moving forward. The studs are obviously amazing, but his RB situation looked tenuous at best. Enter Josh Adams, who looks primed to complement James White as a more than acceptable duo entering the playoffs. Doug Baldwin showing signs of life is another encouraging sign for a team that can suffer an injury or two and still be terrifying.

Best Lineup Move of the Week - N/A
Another week without any strokes of genius from this league.

Worst Lineup Moves of the Week - Belfer starting Jalen Richard over Tre'Quan Smith and Bennett starting Devin Funchess over Christian Kirk
Rookie receivers are tough this time of year, but Week 11 was a banner week for them. DJ Moore lit the world on fire, while Kirk and Quan had big days as well. Unfortunately for Belfer and Bennett, they cost themselves key matchups because they went conservative. Belfer is likely to get at least the #6 seed, but this one move likely cost Bennett the playoffs.

Biggest Matchups of the Week - Kumpf vs. Zacherman and Belfer vs. Levine
Last week the Texans won, but only due to a last second missed FG, so it's basically partial credit. In this space, I went 2/3, which still relatively aligns with their performance. I'm keeping the multi-matchup thing going this week, because the stakes are once again high:

Kumpf
Best Case: #1 seed with a 30+ point lead over 2nd, and a bye essentially clinched
Worst Case: #3 seed

Zacherman
Best Case: Clinches #1 seed, Regular Season prize and a bye
Worst Case: Falls to #3 seed if he loses and Weissbard outscores him by 80

There's more pressure on me here because Z gets Ajay in Rivalry Week while I take on a more formidable Levine team. I also have the bye advantage, with Z losing his guaranteed 50 from Mahomes and Tyreek, while I lose Kelce's 15-20. I have slightly better matchups, especially if A.J. Green plays and takes targets from Boyd, but I really hate Nuk getting last licks on MNF. If I get a healthy Green and Zeke/Bears combine for 50 on Turkey Day, I think I'm in good shape. But I think it's more likely that Green sits and the Jags D score 3 TDs against the Bills.
Pick: Zacherman

Belfer
Best Case: #4 seed with a playoff seed essentially clinched
Worst Case: #7 seed with a tenuous hold on the NiJo Rule spot

Levine
Best Case: #4 seed with a playoff seed essentially clinched
Worst Case: #7 seed with a tenuous hold on the NiJo Rule spot

This will be a fun one. These two teams are both virtual playoff locks due to their point totals, but this game still matters. A win puts them in the driver's seat for the #4 seed and a first round matchup with the winner of the lowly Chocolate Starfish division. A loss means the #6 seed and a matchup with Z/Kumpf/Weissbard. This matchup will be mostly decided on Thanksgiving, with a whopping 7 players going. If Belfer can hold serve heading into Sunday, the game will be decided by how Pittsburgh plays in Denver. But I think this one could end up being a blowout before we finish our pumpkin pie.
Pick: Levine
2018 Biggest Matchup Record: 8-5

Gambling Corner - Week of 11/19

NFL Bets
Falcons (+13) at Saints - Loss
Bengals (-3) vs. Browns - Loss
Jets (+10) vs. Patriots - Loss
Ravens (-11) vs. Raiders - Win
Titans (+7) at Texans
Last Week: 3-1-1
2018 Record: 29-22-5 (+3.78 units)
Historical Win Percentage: 54.78% (+19.01 units)

NCAA Football Bets
Houston (+7) at Memphis - Loss
Iowa (-9) vs. Nebraska - Loss
Ohio State (+5) vs. Michigan - Win
Texas Tech (+7) vs. Baylor (Neutral Site) - Loss
Syracuse (+7) at Boston College - Win
NC State (-7) at North Carolina - Loss
Stanford (-6) at UCLA - Win
Colorado (+13) at California - Win
Kansas State (+14) at Iowa State - Win
Utah (-13) vs. BYU - Loss
Last Week: 4-3
2018 Record: 41-48-2 (-13.01 units)
Historical Win Percentage: 50.31% (-16.52 units)

NBA Bets
Hornets (+4.5) vs. Celtics - Win
Celtics (-12.5) vs. Knicks - Loss
Nets (+3.5) vs. T-Wolves - Loss
Knicks (+7.5) vs. Pelicans - Win
Nuggets (-7.5) vs. Magic - Win
Thunders (-1.5) vs. Nuggets - Loss
Mavericks (+4.5) vs. Celtics - Win
Grizzlies (-6.5) vs. Knicks - Loss
Last Week: 5-4
2018-19 Record: 24-22 (-1.85 units)
Historical Win Percentage: 50.4% (-24.36 units)

NCAA Basketball Bets
Auburn (-9) vs. Xavier (Neutral Site) - Push
San Diego State (+3) vs. Xavier (Neutral Site) - Win
St. John's (-6.5) vs. VCU (Neutral Site) - Loss
Auburn (+11) vs. Duke (Neutral Site) - Win
Creighton (+5.5) vs. Clemson (Neutral Site) - Win
North Carolina (-7) vs. Texas (Neutral Site) - Loss
Michigan State (-6) vs. UCLA (Neutral Site - Win
DePaul (+7) at Notre Dame - Loss
Houston (+3) at BYU - Win
Last Week: 1-0
2018-19 Record: 7-3-1 (+2.78 units)
Historical Win Percentage: 52.07% (-8.02 units)

EPL Bets (Spread)
Fulham (Pick) vs. Southampton - Win
Tottenham (Pick) vs. Chelsea - Win
Huddersfield (+1) at Wolves - Win
Last Week: 2-0-1
2018-19 Spread Record: 18-15-5 (-1.28 units)
Historical Spread Win Percentage: 53.05% (-2.46 units)

EPL Bets (Moneyline)

Last Week: 1-1
2018-19 Moneyline Record: 4-10 (-2.30 units)
Historical Moneyline Win Percentage: 44.62% (-3.81 units)

Champions League (Spread)

Last Week: 3-1-1
2018-19 Spread Record: 13-7-3 (+3.43 units)

Champions League (Moneyline)

Last Week 2-2
2018-19 Moneyline Record: 3-6 (-4.38 units)

Week 10 Recap

Week 10 was the week of upsets. Instead of a world where six teams were 6-4, we have half that number, and while Barnard was a fringe playoff contender at best, his hopes were likely dashed as well. There are still a lot of playoff races to look at, but first lets review the trade deadline fun.

Trade Grade 9
Alan receives Emmanuel Sanders
Kumpf receives A.J. Green
Alan needs to make up two games on Marco to win the division, his only real shot at the playoffs, so a lame duck Green on his bench was accomplishing nothing. He now gets WR11 on the season (who's outscoring Green on a per-game basis) to fuel his playoff push. On my end, it's simply about raising my team's ceiling on a weekly basis. Green gets a nice Oakland/Cleveland back-to-back in Weeks 15-16, but that would require me making it that far, so it's a gamble.
Alan Grade: A
Kumpf Grade: B

Trade Grade 10
Ajay receives Kerryon Johnson and Panthers D/ST
Gutman receives Sony Michel and Chargers D/ST
Ajay is in desperation mode, so a bye week for Sony is a non-starter. If I was him, I would have waived the white flag and geared up for a Rivalry Week win over Z with my strongest team possible. But I have to respect the never-say-die mentality. As for Gutman, his playoff spot is now in a lot more danger than it was last week, so Sony's bye becomes a big problem with Weissbard on the schedule this week. While Gutman got the better end of the deal, the timing of this trade isn't great for him.
Ajay Grade: C+
Gutman Grade: C+

Trade Grade 11
Barnard receives Bitch Trubisky and Jordan Reed
Reap receives Greg Olsen
Barnard's comically poor planning left him desperate at QB (as well as WR), so a trade was better than scrounging the waiver wire I guess. The downgrade from Olsen to Reed is significant, but Olsen's not the reliable weekly threat he used to be. For Reap, this is a clear raising of his team's floor, though it may not affect his ceiling too much. All in all this trade probably doesn't make an impact on the outcome of the league.
Barnard Grade: C
Reap Grade: B

Trade Grade 12
Levine receives Sammy Watkins
Weissbard receives Rashaad Penny
A true buzzer beating trade! On the surface, I like Watkins more than Penny, but in our league, an RB with a chance at starting is always valuable. Weissbard has been looking for a third RB option all year, and while Penny is in incredibly crowded backfield, he's still a first round pick who the team has an incentive to play down the stretch. Levine had the rare luxury of four startable RBs, but his WR situtation is "only" two-deep in reliable starters. Watkins is by no means reliable, but he does give the defending champ more options as he prepares to defend his chef's coat. I like the trade for both teams, and the last minute nature of the trade pushes it over the top.
Levine Grade: A
Weissbard Grade: A-

Now let's take a look at each of the playoff races:

#1 Seed (Bye and Regular Season Prize)
Favorite: Zacherman
In The Hunt: Kumpf, Weissbard

#2 Seed (Bye)
Favorite: Kumpf
In The Hunt, Weissbard, Belfer

Levine Division Champ
Favorite: Kumpf
In The Hunt: Bennett, Levine

The Chosen People Division Champ
Favorite: Zacherman
In The Hunt: Weissbard, Belfer

Chocolate Starfish Division Champ
Favorite: Marco
In The Hunt: Reap, Alan

Remaining Playoff Teams
Favorites: Weissbard, Belfer
In The Hunt: Bennett, Gutman, Levine

#6 Seed (NiJo Rule)
Favorite: Levine
In The Hunt: Bennett, Gutman

With three weeks left in the season, literally nothing has been clinched, and there's a pretty fun race for each seed. A looming Kumpf/Z matchup could well determine the #1 seed, with the loser in danger of falling out of the bye entirely. Weissbard and a rolling Belfer team can gain ground, and are well-positioned for the playoffs regardless. Marco's division is a wasteland, but he is the clear favorite to advance there over Alan and Reap. And the NiJo spot is a fun three-team race with Levine, Bennett, and Gutman. You all know how much I like our current playoff qualification format, but with 10 teams legitimately alive heading into Week 11, who doesn't like this?

Playoff Odds

After Week 10:
We have never had a team start 10-0 or 9-1
100% (2/2) of 8-2 teams make the playoffs
100% (8/8) of 7-3 teams make the playoffs
75% (9/12) of 6-4 teams make the playoffs
33% (5/15) of 5-5 teams make the playoffs
0% (0/7) of 4-6 teams make the playoffs
0% (0/9) of 3-7 teams make the playoffs
0% (0/3) of 2-8 teams make the playoffs
We have never had a team start 1-9 or 0-10

After Week 11:
We have never had a team start 11-0, 10-1, or 9-2
100% (7/7) of 8-3 teams make the playoffs
92% (11/12) of 7-4 teams make the playoffs
40% (4/10) of 6-5 teams make the playoffs
20% (2/10) of 5-6 teams make the playoffs
0% (0/5) of 4-7 teams make the playoffs
0% (0/10 of 3-8 teams make the playoffs
0% (0/1) of 2-9 teams make the playoffs
We have never had a team start 1-10 or 0-11

History means less now that the playoff picture is coming into focus, but this is a clearly important week for the 6-4 teams. Me and Belfer square off, and Gutman faces Weissbard, leaving Bennett in the potential driver's seat for the #4 seed with a pretty harmless Barnard matchup.

On the flip side, the Shot Spot appears to be relatively locked up for BAM unfortunately. They're a game back of Ajay and Esco, and their point total means they would need to make up two games to avoid taking the shots again.

The Christmas Card spot is currently Marco's to lose, with his 59.7 score in Week 7 as the only score in the 50s this year. I'm rooting for him to hold onto that spot, as the ceiling would likely be pretty high on that card. BAM, did I really take those pictures for nothing?

Team of the Week - Bennett
The team that allegedly never gets picked in the Matchup of the Week responded with a season-saving destruction of his landlord. Starting with a big TNF from his Steelers, and ending with Ertz's enormous MNF performance, Bennett dominated from wire-to-wire. I probably put him last among playoff contenders based solely on his absolute lack of reliable RBs, but he's hanging around much longer than expected.

Best Lineup Move of the Week - N/A
No great lineup decisions, though Reap getting a goose egg from Taylor Gabriel and still beating Barnard comes close to qualifying based on spite.

Worst Lineup Moves of the Week - Barnard starting Dion Lewis over Derrick Henry and Marco starting CJ Uzomah over Anthony Miller
Neither of these moves were obvious decisions (though Barnard should have known Henry would fuck him twice against the Pats), but both had potentially colossal results. Barnard is now effectively eliminated barring a miracle, while Marco blew the chance at a two-game division lead. I still would pick Marco to win his division, but it's no longer a foregone conclusion.

Biggest Matchups of the Week - Belfer vs. Kumpf, Gutman vs. Weissbard, and Marco vs. Zacherman
Matchups??? Plural??? That's right. It's the home stretch and we have three enormous matchups kicking off the final playoff push. The results of these matchups could result in the following scenarios:

Zacherman
Best Case: Two games up for the #1 seed
Worst Case: #3 seed (admittedly a stretch)

Kumpf
Best Case: #1 seed
Worst Case: #3 seed

Weissbard
Best Case: #1 seed (stretch)
Worst Case: #5 seed (stretch)

Belfer
Best Case: #3 seed (stretch)
Worst Case: #8 seed

Gutman
Best Case: #4 seed
Worst Case: #8 seed

Marco
Best Case: #4 seed, two games up in the division
Worst Case: #9 seed, tied for the division

My picks have perfectly matched the Texans so far this year, and with Houston on a bye last week and thus ineligible to win a game, I was unable to get the win either. Well I'm tripling down this week, and with Houston playing the Skins, I can see this going either way.

Belfer/Kumpf: Lots of tough matchups with Belf's Steelers in Jacksonville and my squad looking ahead to the playoffs and taking on the Bears, Chargers and Titans. Belf's range of outcomes is the largest in this group, so I think desperation works in his favor.
Pick: Belfer

Gutman/Weissbard: Weiss has the least to gain/lose this week, as he's in a unique spot with his point total. However, he loses his Rams next week, so there's an increased sense of urgency here. Gutman traded for a guy on a bye week, and it looks like he could be on the verge of a collapse. This one is easy.
Pick: Weissbard

Marco/Zacherman: For Marco to have a shot in this one, he probably needs to be up 60 heading into MNF. His squad is potentially whole for the first time this year, which is exciting, but Captain Kirk and Dalvin playing in Chicago on SNF doesn't give me a whole lot of confidence. Z's RBs are in shambles, but it probably won't matter.
Pick: Zacherman

2018 Biggest Matchup Record: 6-4

Gambling Corner - Week of 11/12

NFL Bets
Seahawks (-3) vs. Packers - Push
Redskins (+3) vs. Texans - Win
Giants (-1) vs. Bucs - Win
Chargers (-7) vs. Broncos - Loss
Chiefs (+4) at Rams - Win
Last Week: 3-1
2018 Record: 28-19-5 (+4.78 units)
Historical Win Percentage: 54.78% (+19.01 units)

NCAA Football Bets
TCU (+2) at Baylor - Win
Utah (-7) at Colorado - Win
USC (-3) at UCLA - Loss
Boston College (-1) at Florida State - Loss
Wisconsin (+5) at Purdue - Win
Mississippi (+3) at Vanderbilt - Loss
Washington State (-9) vs. Arizona - Win
Last Week: 3-3
2018 Record: 36-43-2 (-12.18 units)
Historical Win Percentage: 50.31% (-16.52 units)

NBA Bets
Kings (+4.5) vs. Spurs - Win
Magic (+6) vs. 76ers - Win
Raptors (-8) vs. Pistons - Loss
Warriors (+4.5) at Rockets - Loss
Nuggets (-13) vs. Hawks - Win
Clippers (+4) vs. Spurs - Win
Celtics (-2) vs. Raptors - Win
Celtics (-4) vs. Jazz - Loss
Warriors (+4.5) at Spurs - Loss
Last Week: 2-4
2018-19 Record: 20-18 (-1.14 units)
Historical Win Percentage: 50.4% (-24.36 units)

NCAA Basketball Bets
Oklahoma (-10) vs. Wofford - Win
Last Week: 1-0
2018-19 Record: 2-0 (+1.82 units)
Historical Win Percentage: 52.07% (-8.02 units)

EPL Bets (Spread)

Last Week: 2-0-1
2018-19 Spread Record: 15-15-5 (-4.12 units)
Historical Spread Win Percentage: 53.05% (-2.46 units)

EPL Bets (Moneyline)

Last Week: 1-1
2018-19 Moneyline Record: 4-10 (-2.30 units)
Historical Moneyline Win Percentage: 44.62% (-3.81 units)

Champions League (Spread)

Last Week: 3-1-1
2018-19 Spread Record: 13-7-3 (+3.43 units)

Champions League (Moneyline)

Last Week 2-2
2018-19 Moneyline Record: 3-6 (-4.38 units)

Week 9 Recap/Trade Deadline Preview

With the trade deadline less than a week away, it's time for my favorite post of the year. I have yet to predict an actual trade, but I have renewed faith this year for a few reasons. First, the QB situation is not as stratified as it was in the past. Trading the top QB for the 15th QB and a mediocre RB used to be unthinkable because the gap between someone like Rodgers and Eli was enormous. This year, it might be worth taking a slight hit at QB for depth elsewhere, because the talent level is still pretty high. Second, there are a lot of teams eyeing the last couple playoff spots. If we consider Zacherman, Weissbard, Gutman and myself as playoff locks (it would be a historical anomaly if any of us missed), that still leaves Levine, Barnard, Belfer, Marco and Bennett with legit shots at the last two spots with little to distinguish them from each other. That's a ripe situation for trades. And finally, we have Rivalry Week looming in Week 13. While it doesn't appear that Ajay, Alan, Esco, Reap and BAM have much to play for (other than what could end up being a close battle for the Shot Spot), they still have a chance to play spoiler and win $50 back. With all that said, let's get to some trades.

Trade Grade 8
Bennett receives Isaiah Crowell
Marco receives O.J. Howard
We start with a real trade, and another relatively minor one at that. I'd rather have these types of trades than no trades, but I'm hoping we can collectively step up our games in the next week. I give Bennett the edge here because he gave up a guy he would never start for a guy he hopefully doesn't have to, while Marco gave up a guy he hopefully doesn't have to start for a a guy he unfortunately has to. On to more exciting stuff...
Bennett Grade: B-
Marco Grade: C

Mock Trade 1
Gutman receives Deshaun Watson, Todd Gurley, Robert Woods and Sammy Watkins
Weissbard receives Drew Brees, Kareem Hunt, Michael Thomas and Randall Cobb
BOOM! We start off with a bang and probably the least likely of these trades to occur. These two teams are playoff-bound thanks to the highest powered offenses in the league. This trade would be Gutman selling-high on Hunt's share of the KC offense while betting big on the Rams. For Weissbard, he would be giving up the single most reliable asset in fantasy football for an absolutely absurd top four with absolutely no depth behind it. I like this version better for Weissbard, but giving up Gurley would take some stones.

Mock Trade 2
Ajay receives Kirk Cousins, Alvin Kamara, and Keke Coutee
Marco receives Andrew Luck, Sony Michel, and T.Y. Hilton
This is another potential blockbuster, but I have a little more faith in it actually happening. Marco's team is insanely reliant on its RBs, and this would be a step towards balance in adding the Colts duo, along with Michel's upside. For Ajay, he gets a legit stud at RB, while downgrading elsewhere. He's only playing for Rivalry Week, so Kamara's big game potential might look better than hoping Luck can link up with Hilton.

Mock Trade 3
Kumpf receives Corey Clement and DeAndre Hopkins
Zacherman receives Marlon Mack and Emmanuel Sanders
Zacherman's team is absurdly good, so he can likely sit tight and feel fine. If he has a weakness, it's at RB, where White's workload could drop and Howard is very TD-reliant. Marlon Mack has been a stud the last couple of weeks, and would give Z way more upside at that spot. The downgrade from Hopkins to Sanders might seem big, but it's only been three points per game so far this season and Demaryius is now stealing Hopkins' targets instead of Sanders'. For me, I just like making trades and owning the entire backfields of mediocre running games.

Mock Trade 4
Esco receives Matt Stafford and Tevin Coleman
Levine receives Aaron Rodgers and Kenyan Drake
This is one of those QB-centric trades I mentioned earlier. Rodgers hasn't been as lights out as usual, but he's unquestionably an upgrade over Stafford. Coleman would sure up Esco's RB situation, while Levine can afford to downgrade to Drake while simultaneously betting that Miami figures out who their best RB is.

Mock Trade 5
Belfer receives David Johnson and Doug Martin
Reap receives LeVeon Bell and Mark Ingram
To be honest, I just want to see a trade between these two. But this one makes some sense, and it gives Belfer some certainty surrounding his RB spots, espeically if he believes Conner will have a role for the rest of the season. For Reap, he gets potential upside with Bell's return and Ingram gaining steam as the season wears on Kamara. But really, just want to see a reality show on how trade negotiations between Belfer and Reap would go.

Mock Trade 6
Alan receives Cooper Kupp
BAM receives A.J. Green
This trade is all about priorities. Alan needs to win out and score as many points as possible to have a chance at the playoffs. BAM's only consolation prize this year would be winning Rivalry Week against Bennett. With Green out for at least a few weeks, this gives Alan a life raft while potentially making BAM's cellar dweller a formidable Week 13 opponent.

Mock Trade 7
Barnard receives Isaiah Crowell and Josh Gordon
Bennnett receives Leonard Fournette and TJ Yeldon
These two teams are surprisingly still relevant, but entirely unthreatening. Barnard likely can't resist adding yet another Pats receiver to get those double TDs, and getting rid of his Jags-related headache would be another bonus. For Bennett, he gets to corner the backfield on a run-centric team and try to fix his pitiful RB situation, while not really hurting himself elsewhere. Also seeing Crowell traded again would make everyone happy.

Playoff Odds

After Week 9:
We have never had a team start 9-0 or 8-1
100% (3/3) of 7-2 teams make the playoffs
100% (14/14) of 6-3 teams make the playoffs
29% (4/14) of 5-4 teams make the playoffs
30% (3/10) of 4-5 teams make the playoffs
0% (0/8) of 3-6 teams make the playoffs
0% (0/6) of 2-7 teams make the playoffs
0% (0/1) of 1-8 teams make the playoffs
We have never had a team start 0-9

After Week 10:
We have never had a team start 10-0 or 9-1
100% (2/2) of 8-2 teams make the playoffs
100% (8/8) of 7-3 teams make the playoffs
75% (9/12) of 6-4 teams make the playoffs
33% (5/15) of 5-5 teams make the playoffs
0% (0/7) of 4-6 teams make the playoffs
0% (0/9) of 3-7 teams make the playoffs
0% (0/3) of 2-8 teams make the playoffs
We have never had a team start 1-9 or 0-10

I'll take a more in-depth look at the various playoff races starting next week, but as mentioned above, the top 4 teams are pretty much locked in. This week the big gap is between 6-4 and 5-5, so the pressure is on the bubble teams. We could know a lot more next week, but considering none of those teams are playing each other, we may still have a logjam.


Biggest Matchup of the Week - The Landlord Bowl - Bennett vs. Gutman
A lot of teams have important matchups this week, but none of them are really facing each other. Marco and I are both pretty likely to make the playoffs, as he will lead his division even with a loss, and my point total has me as a virtual lock for the 6th seed at worst. That leaves Bennett and Gutman, which is really only interesting if Bennett wins. In that case, we could theoretically have six teams at 6-4 next week, which would make for a pretty crazy last three weeks.

This looks like a legit matchup as well, as bye weeks and injuries aren't a huge factor outside of Bennett's already weak RB situation. Gutman's team is crazy top-heavy, but his big three each get nice matchups and should put up their customary 60+ points. I don't love the rest of his roster, but he has enough to hit 90. For Bennett, depending on which RBs he suits up, 90 might be a stretch. I would love to root for chaos, but that would involve me losing, so I'll stick with picking Mara.
Pick: Gutman
2018 Biggest Matchup Record: 6-3

Gambling Corner - Week of 11/5

NFL Bets
Bears (-6) vs. Lions - Win
Redskins (+3) at Bucs - Win
Dolphins (+10) at Packers - Loss
Seahawks (+10) at Rams - Win
Last Week: 3-2
2018 Record: 25-18-4 (+3.38 units)
Historical Win Percentage: 54.78% (+19.01 units)

NCAA Football Bets
Duke (-10) vs. North Carolina - Loss
Mississippi State (+25) at Alabama - Win
Oklahoma State (+21) at Oklahoma - Win
Utah (-4) vs. Oregon - Win
Miami (+3) at Georgia Tech - Loss
Texas Tech (+2) vs. Texas - Loss
Last Week: 3-2
2018 Record: 32-40-2 (-12.63 units)
Historical Win Percentage: 50.31% (-16.52 units)

NBA Bets
Pacers (+2.5) vs. Rockets - Loss
Blazers (+3.5) vs. Bucks - Win
Magic (+4.5) vs. Pistons - Loss
Jazz (-9.5) vs. Mavericks - Win
76ers (+3.5) at Grizzlies - Loss
Celtics (+4) at Blazers - Loss
Last Week: 4-5
2018-19 Record: 15-14 (-1.30 units)
Historical Win Percentage: 50.4% (-24.36 units)

NCAA Bets
Iowa State (-6) vs. Missouri - Win
2018-19 Record: 1-0 (+0.91 units)
Historical Win Percentage: 52.07% (-8.02 units)

EPL Bets (Spread)
Newcastle (Pick) vs. Bournemouth - Win
Southampton (Pick) vs. Watford - Push
Huddersfield (+0.5) vs. West Ham - Win
Last Week: 3-2
2018-19 Spread Record: 15-15-5 (-4.12 units)
Historical Spread Win Percentage: 53.05% (-2.46 units)

EPL Bets (Moneyline)
Manchester City (-250) vs. Manchester United - Win
Arsenal (-165) vs. Wolves - Loss
Last Week: 0-0
2018-19 Moneyline Record: 4-10 (-2.30 units)
Historical Moneyline Win Percentage: 44.62% (-3.81 units)

Champions League (Spread)
Schalke 04 (-1) vs. Galatasaray - Win
Lokomotiv (+1.5) at Porto - Loss
Valencia (-1) vs. Young Boys - Win
Benfica (Pick) vs. Ajax - Push
Real Madrid (-2) at Viktoria Plzen - Win
Last Week: 3-3-1
2018-19 Spread Record: 13-7-3 (+3.43 units)

Champions League (Moneyline)
Monaco (-120) vs. Club Brugge - Loss
Tottenham (-265) vs. PSV - Win
Atletico Madrid (-110) vs. Borussia Dortmund - Win
Lyon (100) vs. Hoffenheim - Loss
Last Week 0-2
2018-19 Moneyline Record: 3-6 (-4.38 units)

Week 8 Recap

We're about to enter the home stretch of the season, and things are finally rounding into shape. There are three teams with over 900 points, while the rest of the league other than Levine is under 800, and Esco/BAM sit under 700. The next five weeks will be all about sorting out the middle class and determining who gets the last 2-3 playoff spots.

Trade Grade 7
Barnard receives Dion Lewis
Belfer receives Jared Goff
Well this was the most obvious trade of the year. Barnard had been sitting on a tough QB decision each week, and continues to have a hilarious roster of fat RBs and white WRs. This lets him start his boyfriend without guilt, and also brings up a new decision between Lewis and Henry, which I'm sure he will pick wrong each week. I couldn't be happier. As for Belf, he continues to build a seriously strong team. More on that below.
Barnard Grade: B-
Belfer Grade: A-

Playoff Odds

After Week 8:
We have never had a team start 8-0
100% (1/1) of 7-1 teams make the playoffs
100% (8/8) of 6-2 teams make the playoffs
73% (8/11) of 5-3 teams make the playoffs
38% (6/16) of 4-4 teams make the playoffs
8% (1/13) of 3-5 teams make the playoffs
0% (0/4) of 2-6 teams make the playoffs
0% (0/3) of 1-7 teams make the playoffs
We have never had a team start 0-8

After Week 9:
We have never had a team start 9-0 or 8-1
100% (3/3) of 7-2 teams make the playoffs
100% (14/14) of 6-3 teams make the playoffs
29% (4/14) of 5-4 teams make the playoffs
30% (3/10) of 4-5 teams make the playoffs
0% (0/8) of 3-6 teams make the playoffs
0% (0/6) of 2-7 teams make the playoffs
0% (0/1) of 1-8 teams make the playoffs
We have never had a team start 0-9

We're guaranteed to see another record fall, as the winner of Weissbard/Zacherman will be our first 8-1 team in the ESPN era, but there will be plenty of time to talk about that later. This section is all about that absurd 70% gap between 6-3 both 5-4 and 4-5. We have five teams at 4-4, and history tells us that win or lose, it likely doesn't make that much of a difference this week. But for our 5-3 teams, a win and a loss has historically been huge. With my team already leading the division, and projected for an absurd 117 points by ESPN this week against lowly BAM, that leaves Gutman as the team with the most to gain or lose. He faces off with Reap who, along with Alan, are clinging to relevance above the 3-6 death line.

Team of the Week - Belfer
With a whopping three teams within two points of each other in the 130s, I'm giving this to the team that remade itself on the fly, and has renewed playoff hope. Now sitting at .500, as well as 5th in scoring, Belf's team is now pretty deep, and after his trades, he has star power as well. As one of the current top three teams, I would not like to see this team in the playoffs.

Best Lineup Move of the Week - N/A
Only one close matchup this week, and it was won by a BAM team that is already eliminated.

Worst Lineup Move of the Week - Esco starting Kenny Golladay and Chris Godwin over Larry Fitzgerald
A coin flip decision, but the old man would have kept Esco's seasons alive. Instead he's nursing a 12-point lead over BAM for Shot Spot.

Biggest Matchup of the Week - Weissbard vs. Zacherman
I feel like one of these two teams has been in this spot almost every week, but they're both 7-1 and score a lot of points, so what do you want from me? In addition to the battle for elusive 8-1, the winner here also takes the lead in their division, which could end up mattering if they both have late-season swoons. On the flip side, the loser is likely to only be a game up on me and/or Gutman, which makes the bye no sure thing. Those are the stakes.

As for the actual matchup, it might not end up being as close as we all would like. Bye weeks are impacting both rosters, but Weiss losing Saquon and Tate dwarf Zacherman losing Boyd, Ebron and the Jags D. The active rosters don't look much better for Weissbard, as his best matchup is Sammy in Cleveland, but that means Z gets Mahomes scoring even more in The Land. Thursday Night Football is Weissbard's best shot at a win, as 30+ points from Raheem Mostert and Jared Cook...sorry I couldn't even make it through that sentence. Say hello to our new leader.
Pick: Zacherman
2018 Biggest Matchup Record: 5-3

Gambling Corner - Week of 10/22

NFL Bets
Redskins (-1) vs. Falcons - Loss
Vikings (-4) vs. Lions - Win
Panthers (-6) vs. Bucs - Win
Broncos (Pick) vs. Texans - Loss
Patriots (-6) vs. Packers - Win
Last Week: 2-2
2018 Record: 22-17-4 (+2.18 units)
Historical Win Percentage: 54.78% (+19.01 units)

NFL Prop Bet Check-in
The Good
Packers under 10 wins
Dolphins over 6.5 wins
Saints over 9.5 wins
Giants under 7 wins
Raiders under 7.5 wins
49ers under 8.5 wins
Jaguars under 9 wins
Patriots over 11 wins
The Bad
Chargers under 9.5 wins
Titans over 8 wins
Panthers under 9 wins
Browns over 5.5 wins
Colts over 6.5 wins
Texans to win the Super Bowl
Antonio Brown to lead the league in receiving (currently 21st, 373 yards behind leader)
The Ugly
Cardinals over 5.5 wins
Falcons to win the Super Bowl
Jimmy G to lead the league in passing (LOL)
Jay Ajayi to lead the league in rushing (LOL)

NCAA Football Bets
West Virginia (+2) at Texas - Win
Iowa (+3) at Purdue - Win
Penn State (+11) at Michigan - Loss
LSU (+15) vs. Alabama - Loss
Texas Tech (+14) vs. Oklahoma - Win
Last Week: 3-3
2018 Record: 29-37-2 (-12.17 units)
Historical Win Percentage: 50.31% (-16.52 units)

I also bet on Ohio State to win it all at +1200.

NBA Bets
Nets (+2) at Knicks - Loss
T-Wolves (+2) vs. Lakers - Win
Celtics (-7) vs. Pistons - Loss
Lakers (-6) vs. Mavericks - Loss
Nets (+4.5) vs. Rockets - Loss
Thunder (+3) at Wizards - Win
Jazz (-6) vs. Grizzlies - Loss
Pacers (+3) vs. Celtics - Win
Nets (+4) vs. 76ers - Win
Last Week: 5-2
2018-2019 Record: 13-10 (+1.10 units)
Historical Win Percentage: 50.4% (-24.36 units)

EPL Bets (Spread)
Brighton (+1) at Everton - Loss
Newcastle (Pick) vs. Watford - Win
Burnley (+1) at West Ham - Loss
Arsenal (+0.5) vs. Liverpool - Win
Tottenham (Pick) at Wolves - Win
Last Week: 3-2
2018-19 Spread Record: 13-15-4 (-5.76 units)
Historical Spread Win Percentage: 53.05% (-2.46 units)

EPL Bets (Moneyline)

Last Week: 0-1
2018-19 Moneyline Record: 3-9 (-1.70 units)
Historical Moneyline Win Percentage: 44.62% (-3.81 units)

Champions League (Spread)

Last Week: 3-3-1
2018-19 Spread Record: 10-6-2 (+1.59 units)

Champions League (Moneyline)

Last Week 0-2
2018-19 Moneyline Record: 1-4 (-3.67 units)

MLB Bets (Moneyline)
Last Week: 1-0
Final 2018 Record: 33-44 (-4.39 units)
Updated Historical Win Percentage: 41.18% (-6.77 units)