Thursday, December 6, 2012

Week 13 CPP Rankings/Quarterfinal Preview


Well that’s a wrap. The playoffs are set, and the 2012 version of the CPP is complete. We have an unprecedented drop in season-to-season ranks, as well as the tightest finish ever at the top. Here are the final rankings:

1.       Joseph – CPP: 374.51, Last Week: 2nd
2.       Kumpf – CPP: 373.81, Last Week: 1st
3.       Esco – CPP: 339.46, Last Week: 3rd
4.       AGD – CPP: 315.33, Last Week: 4th
5.       Kimmel – CPP: 288.18, Last Week: 5th
6.       Bennett – CPP: 278.86, Last Week: 6th
7.       Ajay – CPP: 275.43, Last Week: 7th
8.       Zacherman – CPP: 247.63, Last Week: 8th
9.       Alan – CPP: 244.61, Last Week: 11th
10.   Barnard – CPP: 244.01, Last Week: 10th
11.   Gutman – CPP: 242.48, Last Week: 9th
12.   Weissbard – CPP: 205.74, Last Week: 12th
13.   Donnie – CPP: 196.41, Last Week: 13th
14.   Billy – CPP: 166.97, Last Week: 14th

I have some plans to further revamp the CPP next year, removing roster adds as a factor and replacing it with some sort of bid accuracy in the Waiver Auctions, so if you have any other ideas to improve this nearly-perfect metric let me know.

Here are some 2012 CPP fun facts:
·         Barnard had the highest scoring week with 141.3, Weissbard had the lowest score with 37.8
·         AGD had the best lineup management, leaving only 9.38 PPG on the bench, Zacherman had the worst, leaving 15.42 PPG on the bench
·         Weissbard had the most injury-affected starters with 53.63 Injury Points, both Nick and Donnie were completely unaffected by injuries to starters
·         Barnard, Gutman and Kumpf led the league with 4 trades, Ajay and Donnie made none
·         In terms of Total Ranking Points (a measure of weekly consistency), Joseph led the way with 137, and Billy was last with 61
·         If we used Victory Points (if you’re in the top 7 in scoring for a week, you get a win), Nick was in first with 11 wins, and Billy was last with 2
·         Billy becomes the first team ever to win both the Stevens Bowl and the James Barnard Last Place CPP award, and he did it in consecutive seasons

Consolation Prizes

Gutman
In case it’s not already obvious, your consolation prize is that I’m not calling you New Gutman anymore. Between your late-season nosedive due to a series of terrible trades, and this picture, I think it’s safe to say that Old Gutman is still alive and well. You better fucking be at the draft next year or you’re dead to me.

Donaldson
I would say that you had solid results in the first season that you controlled by yourself from start to finish. It took all of us at least a year to figure out the Auction Draft, so your accidental pick of Fitzgerald was understandable, if not expected. Your team lacked a no-doubt QB, and beyond Arian, every starting spot was a decision every week, which just sucks for your peace of mind. And Carmenjello goat-fucked you. Your consolation prize should help your results for next: A Strategy Guide For Free Agent Auctions. It’s one thing to hoard your Free Agent dollars in case there’s a huge injury, but it’s a whole different thing to go the entire season without spending $1. You were a win or two away from the playoffs, and I refuse to believe that spending some of that money wouldn’t have gotten you closer.

Zacherman
It’s been a weird year for you Z. You weren’t really in playoff contention from the start, we didn’t hear any trademark Zacherman rants, and you were oddly quiet about the real NFL this year. Maybe it was because you were searching online for your consolation prize, an authentic Greg McElroy jersey! As a Dolphins fan, I’ve witnessed some tragedies at QB in the last decade, but I don’t think I’ve seen anything as simultaneously terrible and hilarious at the same time as the 2012 Jets (no offense to Cleo Lemon). I’m sure you can’t wait to J-E-T-S…Just End The Season!

Barnard
I’ve been waiting all season for you to be eliminated for a variety of reasons. One of them was to hand out your consolation prize, an autographed picture of Gronk! His injury may have torpedoed your season, but look on the bright side: at least it forced you to trade me DMC who will hopefully push my team to the Stevens Bowl.

Kimmel
I honestly feel for you. You missed the playoffs by a total of 6.4 points over the course of the entire season. There are literally a million ways you could have made up those points, but one of them may have been to trade one of your RBs for a legit WR before Week 11. You ended up trading A-Rod, and while it actually panned out for you, it was still a dumbass move in my opinion.  Regardless, you miss the playoffs despite being in the CPP top 5, which is never fun. Your consolation prize is something you could have used earlier this year, a little bit of Luck.

Now on to the actual contenders. Nick and I have well-deserved byes this week. I will be mourning the loss of Percy Harvin for the season, while Nick will pray that both of his injured wideouts get healthy before the semi-finals.

Quarterfinal Preview

As is tradition, I will now break down the Quarterfinal matchups Dr. Z style:

Matchup 1: 3) Esco vs. 6) AGD

Quarterbacks
The only two elite QBs this year that came at a bargain were RG3 and Peyton, so it’s fitting that they meet in the playoffs. As Peyton passes down his crown of “Most Commercials Per NFL Game” to Sir Robert, he may also realize that Griffin has nearly 30 fantasy points more on the season. Both of these guys are unquestionably awesome, so it comes down to the matchup. RG3 gets a beaten up Ravens team, but Ray Lewis started practicing again this week, so they’ll be fired up if nothing else. Peyton gets a miserable Raiders defense that will only slow him down if Denver stops throwing due to a blowout.
Slight Edge: AGD

Runningbacks
This is where the matchup will be decided: Murray/S-Jax/Sproles vs. Charles/Forte/Knowshon. First of all, I want to thank Billy’s drinking problem for Esco even being in a position to start Sproles. He should be on my fucking roster, but I’ll let that one drop for now. Of all of these guys, Charles has the highest ceiling, but a floor that’s lower than Murry, Jackson and Forte. Knowson and Sproles don’t excite me, but as I said earlier, there is a very good chance that Denver is running out the clock by halftime. That and the explosiveness of Charles has me leaning towards the twins.
Slight Edge: AGD

Wide Receivers/Tight End
Esco gets royally fucked if Big Ben can’t play and he has to bench Wallace, but that’s how it goes. Even if Wallace had Joe Mantegna throwing him the ball, Esco’s receivers aren’t coming close to AGD’s tandem of Demaryius and Calvin. That is the single biggest advantage at any position in the league, aside from possibly Nick’s RBs. At TE, Gresham has looked extremely legit lately, with 7 or more in his last 5 games. Brandon Myers came from nowhere this year, and the Raiders will have to pass against Denver, but he’s been so boom-or-bust that I can’t give Esco a clear edge here.
Big Edge: AGD

Defense
It’s all about the matchups here, and Esco’s Seahawks D/ST is facing a team that just announced that John Skelton was starting like it was a good thing. Even if Cam implodes against Atlanta (he put up 28 last time), the Falcons can’t hope to keep up with Seattle.
Big Edge: Esco

CPP
In close matchups, it’s often useful to see if the CPP likes one team significantly more than the other. That doesn’t really help in this case, as you two finished extremely close, actually coming in at 1-2 in terms of starting lineup accuracy. AGD has put up a couple terrible scores this year, so even if there is a 5% possibility of that, I gotta give this to Esco.
Slight Edge: Esco

Verdict
If Big Ben plays and Esco can start Mike Wallace over Chris Givens or Sproles, I would say that this matchup is 50/50. But as it stands now, I think AGD will get nearly 70 points tonight, and that is just too big of a deficit to overcome, even for RG3.
Winner: AGD

Matchup 2: 4) Ajay vs. 5) Bennett

Quarterbacks
The Battle of the NFC South QBs Who Were Terribly Disappointing in Week 13! I’m shocked and a little impressed that Bennett still made the playoffs despite that disaster from Brees. The good news is that Brees will be motivated to start a new TD streak. The bad news is that he gets a fired-up Giants D-Line that is angry after a week of chasing RG3 around. Brees will bounce back, but not quite as much as Matty Ice, who should shred that Panthers D.
Slight Edge: Ajay

Runningbacks
Ajay has Adrian Peterson. That’s all the matters. After him there is Reggie Bush, Fred Jackson, Shonn Greene, Danny Woodhead, and someone named Montell Owens. I would say Ajay should start Rudolph, Quizz, DHB, or Amendola if he’s healthy over Woodhead, and Bennett should start Britt or Golden Tate over Owens, but I’m calling it like they have their lineups right now. Again, Ajay has Adrian Peterson.
Big Edge: Ajay

Wide Receivers/Tight End
The Green/Dez/Heath trio for Bennett is shockingly dominant, as all three of them rank in the top 6 at their positions for the year. Ajay is no slouch himself with his Latino-sounding receivers, and with Stokely out again, Tamme becomes a great play this week. This one is close, but Dez’s rise has coincided with Cruz’s fall, so Bennett gets the edge here.
Slight Edge: Bennett

Defense
Nothing great here. Ajay currently has Houston going against the Pats in New England and Bennett has San Diego against a potentially Ben-less Steelers. If Ben is in fact out, Bennett gets the edge, but I’m calling it even because he still has the Eagles D on his roster and they have let up over 31 points per game in their last seven games, with exactly 3 turnovers forced.
Edge: Even

CPP
This one is even closer than Esco/AGD as these two are only separated by 3 CPP points. Bennett manages his lineup a little better than Ajay, and he’s had more consistent performance over the course of the season, so I’m going with him.
Slight Edge: Bennett

Verdict
Considering Bennett is involved, this one is closer than it might seem. If Amendola plays, Ajay can sit Woodhead and should have a double digit victory. If he’s out, then it’s close, but Brown Man X still gets it done.
Winner: Ajay

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